Aurora vs Real Tomayapo — Primera División
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Aurora and Real Tomayapo meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Aurora have recorded 13 wins from 37 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Real Tomayapo have won 24% of their 33 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 2.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.81 for Aurora and 1.20 for Real Tomayapo. The models give Aurora a 68% win probability, with a draw at 18% and an Real Tomayapo win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aurora | Home | Away | Real Tomayapo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 94% | 84% | 70% | 81% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 67% | 26% | 21% | 31% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 28% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 6% | 16% | 30% | 19% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| Aurora | Home | Away | Real Tomayapo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 78% | 74% | 79% | 75% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 50% | 32% | 55% | 31% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 11% | 16% | 42% | 6% | 76% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 22% | 26% | 21% | 25% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aurora | Real Tomayapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 21% |
| BTTS | 70% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 41% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aurora | Real Tomayapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 52% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Aurora | Real Tomayapo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 70% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 50% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 30% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 0% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 0% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 0% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aurora | Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 3.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 60% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | +33 | 48 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | +34 | 45 | |
| 3 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | +16 | 42 | |
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +14 | 35 | |
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +10 | 33 | |
| 6 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | +4 | 31 | |
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 29 | |
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +2 | 28 | |
| 9 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | +7 | 27 | |
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 25 | |
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -16 | 24 | |
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -19 | 21 | |
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -15 | 20 | |
| 14 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -15 | 18 | |
| 15 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -13 | 17 | |
| 16 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -24 | 17 |
Team Insights
- ●Aurora have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Aurora have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aurora failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Aurora have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Aurora failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Aurora have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●64% of Aurora's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Real Tomayapo have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Real Tomayapo have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Tomayapo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Real Tomayapo failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Real Tomayapo failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Real Tomayapo have lost 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●69% of Real Tomayapo's goals conceded were conceded away.