Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá — Primera División
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Nacional Potosí and Guabirá meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Nacional Potosí have recorded 15 wins from 35 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Guabirá have won 38% of their 34 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.43 for Nacional Potosí and 1.23 for Guabirá. The models give Nacional Potosí a 58% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Guabirá win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Nacional Potosí—
Guabirá7º
Position
10º
1.36
PPG
1.27
36%
Win %
36%
1.55
Goals / game
1.64
1.36
Conceded / game
2.27
49%
BTTS %
71%
31%
Clean sheet %
15%
51%
Over 2.5 %
79%
3.9
Avg corners
3.8
13.8
Avg shots
14.0
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.5
9.8
Avg fouls
10.2
54.8%
Avg possession
48.9%
Home vs Away
Nacional Potosí
Home (5)
—
Guabirá
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.67
60%
Win %
17%
1.80
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
3.17
35%
BTTS %
56%
47%
Clean sheet %
17%
47%
Over 2.5 %
72%
3.9
Avg corners
3.8
13.8
Avg shots
14.0
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.5
54.8%
Avg possession
48.9%
Goals Scored
| Nacional Potosí | Home | Away | Guabirá | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 82% | 78% | 79% | 100% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 59% | 33% | 50% | 81% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 24% | 17% | 15% | 31% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 0% | 39% |
Goals Conceded
| Nacional Potosí | Home | Away | Guabirá | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 53% | 83% | 85% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 18% | 56% | 44% | 19% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 18% | 11% | 29% | 0% | 56% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 47% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nacional Potosí | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 21% |
| BTTS | 49% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nacional Potosí | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 66% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 49% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 59% |
Recent Venue Form
Nacional Potosí (H)W
Real Oruro2–0
Real Oruro2–0W
Always Ready9–0
Always Ready9–0L
Real Potosí0–1
Real Potosí0–1LAlways Ready0–4
Always Ready0–4W
Blooming2–1
Blooming2–1W
Real Tomayapo5–1
Real Tomayapo5–1Guabirá (A)L
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–4
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–4L
Universitario de Vinto1–3
Universitario de Vinto1–3L
The Strongest1–2
The Strongest1–2LAlways Ready0–6
Always Ready0–6L
Oriente Petrolero0–1
Oriente Petrolero0–1L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1–5
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1–5Number of Corners
8.1
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
9.5
90 games
8.6
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Nacional Potosí | Guabirá | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 47% | 73% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 47% | 64% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 45% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 27% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 18% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 18% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 9% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nacional Potosí | Guabirá |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 55% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
11
Nacional Potosí
48%
4
Draws
17%
8
Guabirá
35%
83%
Over 1.5
19/23
74%
Over 2.5
17/23
39%
Over 3.5
9/23
65%
BTTS
15/23
17/05/26Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
2–1Nacional Potosí24/08/25Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
1–0Nacional Potosí14/04/25Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
3–0Guabirá25/10/24Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
3–0Guabirá26/05/24Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
1–1Nacional Potosí25/11/23Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
6–1Nacional Potosí28/05/23Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
6–0Guabirá04/10/22Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
3–1Guabirá23/07/22Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
2–1Nacional Potosí29/04/22Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
1–2Nacional Potosí25/02/22Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
3–1Guabirá18/10/21Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
3–2Nacional Potosí09/05/21Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
2–1Guabirá07/04/21Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
1–2Guabirá17/03/21Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
4–1Nacional Potosí17/12/20Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
1–0Guabirá15/02/20Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
1–0Nacional Potosí04/12/19Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
1–1Nacional Potosí07/08/19Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
2–1Guabirá04/04/19Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
4–0Guabirá| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bolívar | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | +33 | 48 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | +34 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | +16 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +14 | 35 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +10 | 33 |
| 6 |  Aurora | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | +4 | 31 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 29 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosí | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +2 | 28 |
| 9 | Blooming | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | +7 | 27 |
| 10 |  Independiente Petrolero | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 |  ABB | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -15 | 20 |
| 14 | Universitario de Vinto | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -13 | 17 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -24 | 17 |
Team Insights
Nacional Potosí- ●Nacional Potosí have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
Guabirá- ●Guabirá failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Guabirá have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Guabirá have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Guabirá have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Guabirá have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Guabirá failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Guabirá have scored in 10 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Guabirá failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Guabirá have lost 7 of their 11 away matches.
- ●70% of Guabirá's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Guabirá's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Nacional PotosíDAAurora2–2
Aurora2–2LHAlways Ready0–4
Always Ready0–4WAGualberto Villarroel SJ3–0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–0WHBlooming2–1
Blooming2–1LAUniversitario de Vinto0–2
Universitario de Vinto0–2WHIndependiente Petrolero3–0
Independiente Petrolero3–0–HBolívar18/10
Bolívar18/10–HGuabirá26/10
Guabirá26/10–AReal Oruro31/10
Real Oruro31/10GuabiráLAGualberto Villarroel SJ1–4
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–4WHAurora3–1
Aurora3–1LAAlways Ready0–6
Always Ready0–6DHReal Potosí1–1
Real Potosí1–1LAIndependiente Petrolero1–3
Independiente Petrolero1–3DHBlooming1–1
Blooming1–1–HOriente Petrolero18/10
Oriente Petrolero18/10–ANacional Potosí26/10
Nacional Potosí26/10–HBolívar01/11
Bolívar01/11Top Scorers
Nacional PotosíD. Villalba9 ⚽
W. Alvarez8 ⚽
T. Tobar6 ⚽
M. Tomianovic5 ⚽
A. Torrico5 ⚽
S. Pena5 ⚽
GuabiráPedro11 ⚽
S. Garzon6 ⚽
G. Peredo5 ⚽
L. Ursino3 ⚽
C. Anez3 ⚽
M. Maciel3 ⚽
Cards Given
Nacional PotosíD. Hoyos6 🟨
Luis Demiquel6 🟨
Weslen Junior5 🟨
P. Azogue4 🟨
M. Nunez4 🟨
Maximiliano Nuñez4 🟨
GuabiráG. Peredo7 🟨
Thiago Ribeiro6 🟨
S. Gil5 🟨
C. Anez5 🟨
A. Moreno5 🟨
Carlos Áñez4 🟨