Bolívar vs The Strongest — Primera División
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Estadio Hernando Siles·La Paz·Bolivia·45,000
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Bolívar and The Strongest meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Bolívar have recorded 29 wins from 49 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 2.16 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. The Strongest have won 55% of their 40 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.33 for Bolívar and 1.28 for The Strongest. The models give Bolívar a 59% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an The Strongest win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Bolívar—
The Strongest3º
Position
2º
1.91
PPG
2.09
55%
Win %
55%
2.36
Goals / game
1.45
1.00
Conceded / game
0.82
69%
BTTS %
70%
27%
Clean sheet %
20%
61%
Over 2.5 %
65%
5.5
Avg corners
4.8
18.3
Avg shots
16.2
6.9
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.4
9.7
Avg fouls
11.3
58.7%
Avg possession
53.9%
Home vs Away
Bolívar
Home (6)
—
The Strongest
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
50%
3.17
Goals / game
1.17
1.00
Conceded / game
0.67
75%
BTTS %
55%
25%
Clean sheet %
25%
71%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.5
Avg corners
4.8
18.3
Avg shots
16.2
6.9
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.4
58.7%
Avg possession
53.9%
Goals Scored
| Bolívar | Home | Away | The Strongest | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 96% | 88% | 80% | 95% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 48% | 57% | 75% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 50% | 24% | 30% | 45% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 4% | 12% | 20% | 5% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Bolívar | Home | Away | The Strongest | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 75% | 72% | 80% | 85% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 29% | 28% | 30% | 25% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 4% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 25% | 28% | 20% | 15% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bolívar | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 23% |
| BTTS | 69% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 45% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 51% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bolívar | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 51% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Bolívar (H)W
Blooming1–0
Blooming1–0W
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–2
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–2WBlooming3–0
Blooming3–0WGualberto Villarroel SJ4–2
Gualberto Villarroel SJ4–2D
Independiente Petrolero1–1
Independiente Petrolero1–1WThe Strongest4–2
The Strongest4–2The Strongest (A)L
Real Potosí0–1
Real Potosí0–1L
Guabirá1–2
Guabirá1–2D
Oriente Petrolero1–1
Oriente Petrolero1–1W
ABB2–1
ABB2–1W
Universitario de Vinto2–1
Universitario de Vinto2–1LBolívar2–4
Bolívar2–4Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
22 games
League Avg
9.4
97 games
9.8
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Bolívar | The Strongest | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 88% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 59% | 75% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 38% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 19% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 13% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 5% | 13% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bolívar | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.2 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 55% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 45% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 50% |
Head to Head · 34 matches
12
Bolívar
35%
11
Draws
32%
11
The Strongest
32%
79%
Over 1.5
27/34
56%
Over 2.5
19/34
38%
Over 3.5
13/34
65%
BTTS
22/34
20/09/26Bolívar
The Strongest
1–1Bolívar30/08/26The Strongest
Bolívar
4–2The Strongest12/07/26Bolívar
The Strongest
1–1Bolívar06/02/26The Strongest
Bolívar
0–0The Strongest30/01/26Bolívar
The Strongest
2–2Bolívar30/11/25Bolívar
The Strongest
2–3Bolívar09/11/25Bolívar
The Strongest
3–5Bolívar28/08/25The Strongest
Bolívar
1–0The Strongest22/06/25The Strongest
Bolívar
1–2The Strongest08/12/24The Strongest
Bolívar
4–1The Strongest19/09/24Bolívar
The Strongest
1–1Bolívar10/03/24Bolívar
The Strongest
2–1Bolívar25/02/24The Strongest
Bolívar
4–4The Strongest23/07/23The Strongest
Bolívar
3–0The Strongest18/02/23Bolívar
The Strongest
3–2Bolívar13/10/22Bolívar
The Strongest
4–4Bolívar31/07/22The Strongest
Bolívar
0–4The Strongest12/06/22Bolívar
The Strongest
0–3Bolívar08/05/22The Strongest
Bolívar
1–0The Strongest14/03/22Bolívar
The Strongest
0–1Bolívar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | +34 | 51 |
| 2 |  Always Ready | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | +36 | 48 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | +16 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | +15 | 38 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +10 | 33 |
| 6 |  Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 29 |
| 8 | Blooming | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | +7 | 28 |
| 9 |  Nacional Potosí | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | +1 | 28 |
| 10 |  Real Oruro | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Independiente Petrolero | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 13 |  San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -20 | 21 |
| 14 | ABB | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -16 | 20 |
| 15 |  Real Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -23 | 20 |
| 16 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -14 | 17 |
Team Insights
Bolívar- ●Bolívar have won their last 10 matches.
- ●Bolívar have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Bolívar have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bolívar failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in 11 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have won 7 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
The Strongest- ●The Strongest have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●The Strongest have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●The Strongest failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●The Strongest have scored in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●The Strongest have won 6 of their 11 away matches.
- ●The Strongest have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
Season Schedule
BolívarWANacional Potosí1–0
Nacional Potosí1–0WHBlooming1–0
Blooming1–0WHGualberto Villarroel SJ4–2
Gualberto Villarroel SJ4–2WAReal Tomayapo2–1
Real Tomayapo2–1WAIndependiente Petrolero4–0
Independiente Petrolero4–0WHABB4–1
ABB4–1–HUniversitario de Vinto27/10
Universitario de Vinto27/10–AGuabirá01/11
Guabirá01/11–HThe Strongest08/11
The Strongest08/11The StrongestWHAlways Ready2–1
Always Ready2–1LAReal Potosí0–1
Real Potosí0–1WAABB2–1
ABB2–1WHReal Oruro5–0
Real Oruro5–0WHReal Tomayapo3–1
Real Tomayapo3–1WASan Antonio Bulo Bulo3–0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo3–0–AOriente Petrolero25/10
Oriente Petrolero25/10–HGualberto Villarroel SJ01/11
Gualberto Villarroel SJ01/11–ABolívar08/11
Bolívar08/11Top Scorers
BolívarM. Cauteruccio17 ⚽
Robson Matheus12 ⚽
D. Romero9 ⚽
D. Asprilla9 ⚽
7 ⚽
J. Velasquez6 ⚽
The StrongestD. Lom10 ⚽
J. Arrascaita9 ⚽
A. Estacio8 ⚽
M. Chiatti5 ⚽
G. Sotomayor5 ⚽
K. Romay3 ⚽
Cards Given
BolívarJ. Sagredo11 🟨
L. Justiniano6 🟨
Pato Rodriguez4 🟨
Leonel Justiniano4 🟨
José Sagredo3 🟨
D. Asprilla3 🟨
The StrongestJ. Arrascaita5 🟨
Darwin Lom5 🟨
D. Lom5 🟨
Jovani Welch3 🟨
J. Welch3 🟨
Kevin Salvatierra3 🟨