Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto — Primera División
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Aurora and Universitario de Vinto meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Aurora have recorded 13 wins from 37 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Universitario de Vinto have won 23% of their 35 matches, with 1.51 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 66%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.50 for Aurora and 1.39 for Universitario de Vinto. The models give Aurora a 63% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Universitario de Vinto win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aurora | Home | Away | Universitario de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 94% | 84% | 80% | 89% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 67% | 26% | 37% | 44% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 28% | 0% | 23% | 33% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 6% | 16% | 20% | 11% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Aurora | Home | Away | Universitario de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 78% | 74% | 91% | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 50% | 32% | 66% | 50% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 6% | 41% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 22% | 26% | 9% | 11% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aurora | Universitario de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 26% |
| BTTS | 70% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 41% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aurora | Universitario de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 54% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Aurora | Universitario de | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 73% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 73% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 67% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 67% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 33% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 20% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 13% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aurora | Universitario de |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 40% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | +33 | 48 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | +34 | 45 | |
| 3 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | +16 | 42 | |
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +14 | 35 | |
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +10 | 33 | |
| 6 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | +4 | 31 | |
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 29 | |
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +2 | 28 | |
| 9 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | +7 | 27 | |
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 25 | |
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -16 | 24 | |
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -19 | 21 | |
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -15 | 20 | |
| 14 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -15 | 18 | |
| 15 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -13 | 17 | |
| 16 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -24 | 17 |
Team Insights
- ●Aurora have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Aurora have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aurora failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Aurora have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Aurora failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Aurora have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●64% of Aurora's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto have lost 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●67% of Universitario de Vinto's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Universitario de Vinto's points have been earned at home.
- ●Universitario de Vinto have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.