The Strongest vs Nacional Potosí — Primera División
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Estadio Hernando Siles·La Paz·Bolivia·45,000
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The Strongest and Nacional Potosí meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 2 December 2026. The Strongest have recorded 23 wins from 43 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Nacional Potosí have won 41% of their 39 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.20 for The Strongest and 1.45 for Nacional Potosí. The models give The Strongest a 56% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Nacional Potosí win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
The Strongest—
Nacional Potosí2º
Position
7º
2.09
PPG
1.36
55%
Win %
36%
1.45
Goals / game
1.55
0.82
Conceded / game
1.36
72%
BTTS %
49%
19%
Clean sheet %
31%
65%
Over 2.5 %
51%
4.8
Avg corners
4.3
16.9
Avg shots
14.6
5.8
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.1
Avg fouls
9.6
54.7%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
The Strongest
Home (5)
—
Nacional Potosí
Away (6)
2.20
PPG
0.83
60%
Win %
17%
1.80
Goals / game
1.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.50
86%
BTTS %
65%
14%
Clean sheet %
15%
81%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.8
Avg corners
4.3
16.9
Avg shots
14.6
5.8
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
54.7%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| The Strongest | Home | Away | Nacional Potosí | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 95% | 68% | 79% | 79% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 76% | 36% | 46% | 58% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 48% | 14% | 21% | 26% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 5% | 32% | 21% | 21% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| The Strongest | Home | Away | Nacional Potosí | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 86% | 77% | 69% | 53% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 29% | 36% | 36% | 16% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 14% | 23% | 31% | 47% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| The Strongest | Nacional Potosí | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 21% |
| BTTS | 72% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 44% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| The Strongest | Nacional Potosí | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 49% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
The Strongest (H)W
Gualberto Villarroel SJ4–2
Gualberto Villarroel SJ4–2W
Always Ready2–1
Always Ready2–1W
Universitario de Vinto5–2
Universitario de Vinto5–2W
Guabirá2–1
Guabirá2–1D
Bolívar1–1
Bolívar1–1W
Real Oruro5–0
Real Oruro5–0Nacional Potosí (A)DReal Oruro1–1
Real Oruro1–1L
Oriente Petrolero2–3
Oriente Petrolero2–3D
Aurora2–2
Aurora2–2WAlways Ready3–2
Always Ready3–2D
Real Tomayapo1–1
Real Tomayapo1–1D
Real Potosí2–2
Real Potosí2–2Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
18 games
League Avg
9.4
113 games
8.5
Corners / Match
18 games
| Match Corners | The Strongest | Nacional Potosí | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 56% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 56% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 61% | 44% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 39% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 33% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 22% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 22% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 6% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | The Strongest | Nacional Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 39% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 72% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 61% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 39% |
Head to Head · 27 matches
15
The Strongest
56%
4
Draws
15%
8
Nacional Potosí
30%
81%
Over 1.5
22/27
52%
Over 2.5
14/27
41%
Over 3.5
11/27
56%
BTTS
15/27
05/08/26The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
2–3The Strongest04/03/26Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
5–1Nacional Potosí01/03/26The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
2–0The Strongest18/12/25The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
1–0The Strongest16/12/25Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1–2Nacional Potosí09/08/25The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
0–2The Strongest06/04/25Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2–0Nacional Potosí25/09/24The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
1–1The Strongest12/05/24Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2–1Nacional Potosí06/12/23Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1–0Nacional Potosí24/06/23The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
6–3The Strongest16/09/22Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1–1Nacional Potosí10/07/22The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
1–5The Strongest12/05/22The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
1–1The Strongest05/03/22Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1–1Nacional Potosí18/08/21Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
7–0Nacional Potosí09/03/21The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
3–4The Strongest24/12/20Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
3–0Nacional Potosí01/03/20The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
3–1The Strongest01/12/19The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
0–4The Strongest| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | +36 | 57 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | +41 | 54 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | +18 | 48 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | +14 | 39 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 38 |
| 6 | Aurora | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | +4 | 35 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosí | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | +4 | 32 |
| 8 |  Blooming | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 31 |
| 9 |  Independiente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -8 | 30 |
| 10 | Guabirá | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -14 | 30 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -19 | 28 |
| 12 |  San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -18 | 27 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | -17 | 21 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 20 |
| 15 |  ABB | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -25 | 20 |
Team Insights
The Strongest- ●The Strongest failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●The Strongest have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●The Strongest have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●The Strongest have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●The Strongest failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●The Strongest have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●The Strongest have won 6 of their 12 away matches.
- ●The Strongest have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●63% of The Strongest's goals have been scored at home.
- ●The Strongest have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Nacional Potosí- ●Nacional Potosí have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
Season Schedule
The StrongestWHGualberto Villarroel SJ4–2
Gualberto Villarroel SJ4–2LAOriente Petrolero1–2
Oriente Petrolero1–2WHAlways Ready2–1
Always Ready2–1LAReal Potosí0–1
Real Potosí0–1WAABB2–1
ABB2–1WHReal Oruro5–0
Real Oruro5–0–ABolívar08/11
Bolívar08/11–HBlooming22/11
Blooming22/11–AAurora29/11
Aurora29/11Nacional PotosíDAReal Oruro1–1
Real Oruro1–1WHGuabirá3–0
Guabirá3–0LHBolívar0–1
Bolívar0–1DAAurora2–2
Aurora2–2LHAlways Ready0–4
Always Ready0–4WAGualberto Villarroel SJ3–0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–0–HReal Potosí08/11
Real Potosí08/11–AReal Tomayapo21/11
Real Tomayapo21/11–HOriente Petrolero28/11
Oriente Petrolero28/11Top Scorers
The StrongestD. Lom10 ⚽
J. Arrascaita9 ⚽
A. Estacio8 ⚽
G. Sotomayor6 ⚽
M. Chiatti5 ⚽
K. Romay3 ⚽
Nacional PotosíD. Villalba9 ⚽
W. Alvarez8 ⚽
T. Tobar6 ⚽
M. Tomianovic6 ⚽
S. Pena5 ⚽
A. Torrico5 ⚽
Cards Given
The StrongestJ. Arrascaita6 🟨
D. Lom5 🟨
Darwin Lom5 🟨
Jovani Welch4 🟨
M. Chiatti4 🟨
W. Saucedo4 🟨
Nacional PotosíLuis Demiquel6 🟨
D. Hoyos6 🟨
P. Azogue5 🟨
Oscar Baldomar5 🟨
C. Abastoflor5 🟨
Weslen Junior5 🟨