Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz — Liga de Expansión MX
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Estadio Tlahuicole·Tlaxcala·Mexico·10,000
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Tlaxcala and CA La Paz meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Tlaxcala have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. CA La Paz have won 56% of their 16 matches, with 2.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 81%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Tlaxcala and 1.94 for CA La Paz. The models give Tlaxcala a 36% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an CA La Paz win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Tlaxcala—
CA La Paz15º
Position
11º
0.00
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
2.33
3.00
Conceded / game
1.67
75%
BTTS %
69%
13%
Clean sheet %
25%
69%
Over 2.5 %
81%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tlaxcala
Home (2)
—
CA La Paz
Away (2)
0.00
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
3.50
3.00
Conceded / game
2.00
71%
BTTS %
88%
14%
Clean sheet %
13%
71%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tlaxcala | Home | Away | CA La | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 86% | 89% | 94% | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 86% | 44% | 81% | 63% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 57% | 0% | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Tlaxcala | Home | Away | CA La | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 86% | 89% | 75% | 63% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 43% | 67% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 14% | 44% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 14% | 11% | 25% | 38% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tlaxcala | CA La | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 | 69% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 19% |
| BTTS | 75% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tlaxcala | CA La | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 80% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Tlaxcala (H)W
Correcaminos Uat2–0
Correcaminos Uat2–0W
Piratas4–2
Piratas4–2W
Cancún4–1
Cancún4–1W
CDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1W
Venados FC3–1
Venados FC3–1L
Alebrijes de Oaxaca0–2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca0–2CA La (A)WCDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1W
Tapatío4–2
Tapatío4–2WAlebrijes de Oaxaca3–1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca3–1D
Leones Negros UDG2–2
Leones Negros UDG2–2WCancún2–1
Cancún2–1W
Tepatitlán5–0
Tepatitlán5–0Head to Head · 9 matches
1
Tlaxcala
11%
4
Draws
44%
4
CA La
44%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
56%
Over 3.5
5/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
17/10/26Tlaxcala
CA La Paz
2–2Tlaxcala08/03/26Tlaxcala
CA La Paz
2–0Tlaxcala28/09/25CA La Paz
Tlaxcala
3–3CA La Paz11/01/25Tlaxcala
CA La Paz
4–4Tlaxcala27/07/24CA La Paz
Tlaxcala
0–2CA La Paz17/02/24CA La Paz
Tlaxcala
2–3CA La Paz27/09/23Tlaxcala
CA La Paz
1–0Tlaxcala04/04/23CA La Paz
Tlaxcala
1–0CA La Paz10/08/22Tlaxcala
CA La Paz
2–2Tlaxcala| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 |  Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Dorados | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | -33 | 7 |
Team Insights
Tlaxcala- ●Tlaxcala have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Tlaxcala's goals have been scored at home.
CA La- ●CA La Paz have won their last 2 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●CA La Paz have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●CA La Paz failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
TlaxcalaWACruz Azul Hidalgo2–0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–0WHCorrecaminos Uat2–0
Correcaminos Uat2–0DACA La Paz2–2
CA La Paz2–2WHPiratas4–2
Piratas4–2DAMonarcas1–1
Monarcas1–1WHCancún4–1
Cancún4–1–HCA La Paz05/11
CA La Paz05/11–ACA La Paz08/11
CA La Paz08/11CA LaWHDorados3–0
Dorados3–0WACDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1DHTlaxcala2–2
Tlaxcala2–2WATapatío4–2
Tapatío4–2LHVenados FC1–2
Venados FC1–2WAAlebrijes de Oaxaca3–1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca3–1–ATlaxcala05/11
Tlaxcala05/11–HTlaxcala08/11
Tlaxcala08/11Top Scorers
TlaxcalaE. Robles10 ⚽
D. Alvarez6 ⚽
Christian4 ⚽
I. Govea3 ⚽
M. Ramirez1 ⚽
B. Flores1 ⚽
CA LaM. Barragan11 ⚽
A. Robles7 ⚽
U. Jaimes5 ⚽
J. Ferrer4 ⚽
U. Zurita Jimenez2 ⚽
E. Torres2 ⚽
Cards Given
TlaxcalaE. Garcia6 🟨
B. Flores6 🟨
C. Gonzalez5 🟨
Christian4 🟨
M. A. Trejo Castro4 🟨
B. Vazquez3 🟨
CA LaC. Robles7 🟨
U. Zurita Jimenez5 🟨
Y. Del Aguila5 🟨
E. Torres4 🟨
F. Illescas4 🟨
H. Torres3 🟨