Venados FC vs Monarcas — Liga de Expansión MX
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Venados FC and Monarcas meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Venados FC have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 2.07 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Monarcas have won 47% of their 17 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.96 for Venados FC and 1.17 for Monarcas. The models give Venados FC a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Monarcas win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Venados FC | Home | Away | Monarcas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 88% | 88% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 86% | 25% | 41% | 63% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 71% | 13% | 24% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 13% | 12% | 0% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Venados FC | Home | Away | Monarcas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 71% | 88% | 82% | 88% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 43% | 50% | 35% | 50% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 38% | 18% | 25% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 29% | 13% | 18% | 13% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Venados FC | Monarcas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 24% |
| BTTS | 80% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Venados FC | Monarcas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 19% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 15 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +18 | 30 | |
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 30 | |
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 26 | |
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 25 | |
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 25 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 25 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 24 | |
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 22 | |
| 9 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 22 | |
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 18 | |
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 18 | |
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 17 | |
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 16 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 15 | |
| 15 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 14 | |
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | -33 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Venados FC have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Venados FC have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Venados FC have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Venados FC have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Venados FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Venados FC have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Venados FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Venados FC have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●68% of Venados FC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Venados FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●76% of Venados FC's points have been earned at home.
- ●Monarcas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Monarcas failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Monarcas failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Monarcas have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●65% of Monarcas's goals have been scored at home.