CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala — Liga de Expansión MX
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Estadio Guaycura·La Paz·Mexico·3,000
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CA La Paz and Tlaxcala meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 8 November 2026. CA La Paz have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 81%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Tlaxcala have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for CA La Paz and 1.23 for Tlaxcala. The models give CA La Paz a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Tlaxcala win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
CA La Paz—
Tlaxcala11º
Position
15º
1.00
PPG
0.00
33%
Win %
0%
2.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.67
Conceded / game
3.00
69%
BTTS %
75%
25%
Clean sheet %
13%
81%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
CA La Paz
Home (1)
—
Tlaxcala
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
0.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
3.00
50%
BTTS %
78%
38%
Clean sheet %
11%
63%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| CA La | Home | Away | Tlaxcala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 88% | 100% | 88% | 86% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 81% | 63% | 100% | 63% | 86% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 57% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 13% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| CA La | Home | Away | Tlaxcala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 63% | 88% | 88% | 86% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 56% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 31% | 14% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 38% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| CA La | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 25% |
| BTTS | 69% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| CA La | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
CA La (H)W
Dorados3–0
Dorados3–0DTlaxcala2–2
Tlaxcala2–2L
Venados FC1–2
Venados FC1–2W
Correcaminos Uat3–1
Correcaminos Uat3–1W
Mineros de Zacatecas3–0
Mineros de Zacatecas3–0D
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1–1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1–1Tlaxcala (A)WCruz Azul Hidalgo2–0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–0DCA La Paz2–2
CA La Paz2–2D
Monarcas1–1
Monarcas1–1L
Tapatío0–4
Tapatío0–4D
Durango1–1
Durango1–1L
Tepatitlán2–3
Tepatitlán2–3Head to Head · 9 matches
4
CA La
44%
4
Draws
44%
1
Tlaxcala
11%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
56%
Over 3.5
5/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
17/10/26Tlaxcala
CA La Paz
2–2Tlaxcala08/03/26Tlaxcala
CA La Paz
2–0Tlaxcala28/09/25CA La Paz
Tlaxcala
3–3CA La Paz11/01/25Tlaxcala
CA La Paz
4–4Tlaxcala27/07/24CA La Paz
Tlaxcala
0–2CA La Paz17/02/24CA La Paz
Tlaxcala
2–3CA La Paz27/09/23Tlaxcala
CA La Paz
1–0Tlaxcala04/04/23CA La Paz
Tlaxcala
1–0CA La Paz10/08/22Tlaxcala
CA La Paz
2–2Tlaxcala| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 |  Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 | Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | -33 | 7 |
Team Insights
CA La- ●CA La Paz have won their last 2 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●CA La Paz have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●CA La Paz failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Tlaxcala- ●Tlaxcala have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Tlaxcala's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
CA LaWHDorados3–0
Dorados3–0WACDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1DHTlaxcala2–2
Tlaxcala2–2WATapatío4–2
Tapatío4–2LHVenados FC1–2
Venados FC1–2WAAlebrijes de Oaxaca3–1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca3–1–ATlaxcala05/11
Tlaxcala05/11–HTlaxcala08/11
Tlaxcala08/11TlaxcalaWACruz Azul Hidalgo2–0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–0WHCorrecaminos Uat2–0
Correcaminos Uat2–0DACA La Paz2–2
CA La Paz2–2WHPiratas4–2
Piratas4–2DAMonarcas1–1
Monarcas1–1WHCancún4–1
Cancún4–1–HCA La Paz05/11
CA La Paz05/11–ACA La Paz08/11
CA La Paz08/11Top Scorers
CA LaM. Barragan11 ⚽
A. Robles7 ⚽
U. Jaimes5 ⚽
J. Ferrer4 ⚽
U. Zurita Jimenez2 ⚽
E. Torres2 ⚽
TlaxcalaE. Robles10 ⚽
D. Alvarez6 ⚽
Christian4 ⚽
I. Govea3 ⚽
M. Ramirez1 ⚽
B. Flores1 ⚽
Cards Given
CA LaC. Robles7 🟨
U. Zurita Jimenez5 🟨
Y. Del Aguila5 🟨
E. Torres4 🟨
F. Illescas4 🟨
H. Torres3 🟨
TlaxcalaE. Garcia6 🟨
B. Flores6 🟨
C. Gonzalez5 🟨
Christian4 🟨
M. A. Trejo Castro4 🟨
B. Vazquez3 🟨