Monarcas vs Venados FC — Liga de Expansión MX
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Monarcas and Venados FC meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Monarcas have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Venados FC have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Monarcas and 1.30 for Venados FC. The models give Monarcas a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Venados FC win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Monarcas—
Venados FC4º
Position
2º
2.00
PPG
2.33
67%
Win %
67%
2.67
Goals / game
2.33
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
71%
BTTS %
80%
18%
Clean sheet %
20%
59%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Monarcas
Home (2)
—
Venados FC
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
0%
4.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
88%
BTTS %
88%
13%
Clean sheet %
13%
75%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Monarcas | Home | Away | Venados FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 78% | 93% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 63% | 22% | 53% | 86% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 50% | 0% | 40% | 71% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 0% | 22% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Monarcas | Home | Away | Venados FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 88% | 78% | 80% | 71% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 50% | 22% | 47% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 25% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 13% | 22% | 20% | 29% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Monarcas | Venados FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 40% |
| BTTS | 71% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Monarcas | Venados FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 19% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Monarcas (H)L
CDS Tampico Madero1–2
CDS Tampico Madero1–2D
Tlaxcala1–1
Tlaxcala1–1W
Leones Negros UDG2–0
Leones Negros UDG2–0W
Alebrijes de Oaxaca4–1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca4–1L
Correcaminos Uat1–3
Correcaminos Uat1–3W
Cancún4–1
Cancún4–1Venados FC (A)DCorrecaminos Uat0–0
Correcaminos Uat0–0DCancún1–1
Cancún1–1W
CA La Paz2–1
CA La Paz2–1L
Piratas1–2
Piratas1–2LCDS Tampico Madero3–4
CDS Tampico Madero3–4LTlaxcala1–3
Tlaxcala1–3Head to Head · 15 matches
6
Monarcas
40%
5
Draws
33%
4
Venados FC
27%
73%
Over 1.5
11/15
47%
Over 2.5
7/15
20%
Over 3.5
3/15
67%
BTTS
10/15
26/09/26Monarcas
Venados FC
2–1Monarcas15/02/26Venados FC
Monarcas
2–1Venados FC05/09/25Monarcas
Venados FC
2–2Monarcas03/03/25Venados FC
Monarcas
1–0Venados FC14/09/24Monarcas
Venados FC
2–1Monarcas29/03/24Venados FC
Monarcas
3–4Venados FC10/11/23Venados FC
Monarcas
1–1Venados FC20/10/23Monarcas
Venados FC
2–1Monarcas27/01/23Venados FC
Monarcas
1–0Venados FC30/07/22Monarcas
Venados FC
0–2Monarcas07/04/22Venados FC
Monarcas
2–2Venados FC16/09/21Monarcas
Venados FC
0–1Monarcas12/03/21Venados FC
Monarcas
1–1Venados FC25/11/20Venados FC
Monarcas
1–0Venados FC15/10/20Monarcas
Venados FC
1–1Monarcas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 |  Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |  Tapatío | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Dorados | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | -33 | 7 |
Team Insights
Monarcas- ●Monarcas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Monarcas failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Monarcas failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Monarcas have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●65% of Monarcas's goals have been scored at home.
Venados FC- ●Venados FC have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Venados FC have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Venados FC have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Venados FC have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Venados FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Venados FC have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Venados FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Venados FC have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●68% of Venados FC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Venados FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●76% of Venados FC's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
MonarcasLADurango1–3
Durango1–3WATapatío2–1
Tapatío2–1LHCDS Tampico Madero1–2
CDS Tampico Madero1–2DATepatitlán1–1
Tepatitlán1–1DHTlaxcala1–1
Tlaxcala1–1LAVenados FC1–2
Venados FC1–2–AVenados FC04/11
Venados FC04/11–HVenados FC08/11
Venados FC08/11Venados FCDACorrecaminos Uat0–0
Correcaminos Uat0–0WHDurango3–2
Durango3–2DACancún1–1
Cancún1–1DHLeones Negros UDG1–1
Leones Negros UDG1–1WACA La Paz2–1
CA La Paz2–1WHMonarcas2–1
Monarcas2–1–HMonarcas04/11
Monarcas04/11–AMonarcas08/11
Monarcas08/11Top Scorers
MonarcasR. del Campo6 ⚽
A. Flores6 ⚽
M. Rodriguez3 ⚽
M. Nambo2 ⚽
D. De Buen2 ⚽
D. Zamora2 ⚽
Venados FCS. Lora18 ⚽
J. Reyes4 ⚽
D. Tejeda1 ⚽
I. Dominguez1 ⚽
L. Lazarte1 ⚽
L. Macias1 ⚽
Cards Given
MonarcasD. Aguilar6 🟨
J. Martinez5 🟨
D. De Buen4 🟨
D. Zamora4 🟨
R. del Campo4 🟨
S. Hernandez4 🟨
Venados FCA. Dominguez5 🟨
I. Dominguez4 🟨
Ochoa Brandon4 🟨
S. Montiel3 🟨
S. Lora3 🟨
S. Naveda3 🟨