Victoria NPL — Home Advantage
Australia · 2026
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +31% | +34% | +28% | 2.29/1.50 | |
| 2 | +15% | +4% | +26% | 0.69/0.46 | |
| 3 | +15% | +14% | +16% | 1.69/1.15 | |
| 4 | +9% | +27% | -8% | 1.23/0.62 | |
| 5 | +9% | +11% | +7% | 1.38/1.23 | |
| 6 | +6% | +11% | +2% | 1.46/1.50 | |
| 7 | 0% | -17% | +16% | 1.86/1.77 | |
| 8 | -4% | +1% | -8% | 1.85/1.93 | |
| 9 | -4% | -9% | 0% | 1.69/1.23 | |
| 10 | -5% | -13% | +4% | 0.62/0.77 | |
| 11 | -17% | -23% | -11% | 0.77/1.54 | |
| 12 | -21% | -43% | 0% | 0.69/1.46 | |
| 13 | -24% | +10% | -58% | 2.00/2.23 | |
| 14 | -26% | -24% | -28% | 1.14/2.00 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Victoria NPL (Australia) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Victoria NPL (Australia), the average home win rate is 39% compared to 39% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Sunshine Georgies shows the strongest home advantage, winning 46% of home games versus just 23% away (a difference of +23%). At the other end, Melbourne City II actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 15% versus 46% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +34% | 3.36 | 1.64 | |
| 2 | +27% | 1.46 | 0.85 | |
| 3 | +14% | 1.54 | 1.15 | |
| 4 | +11% | 1.54 | 1.23 | |
| 5 | +11% | 1.77 | 1.43 | |
| 6 | +10% | 2.36 | 1.92 | |
| 7 | +4% | 0.92 | 0.85 | |
| 8 | +1% | 1.54 | 1.50 | |
| 9 | -9% | 1.23 | 1.46 | |
| 10 | -13% | 0.77 | 1.00 | |
| 11 | -17% | 1.64 | 2.31 | |
| 12 | -23% | 1.15 | 1.85 | |
| 13 | -24% | 1.14 | 1.86 | |
| 14 | -43% | 0.62 | 1.54 |
Victoria NPL (Australia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Avondale has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Victoria NPL (Australia), netting 3.36 goals/match at home versus 1.64 away — a Scoring Advantage of +34%. In contrast, Altona Magic scores more away (1.54/match) than at home (0.62/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -43% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +28% | 0.93 | 1.64 | |
| 2 | +26% | 1.85 | 3.15 | |
| 3 | +16% | 1.21 | 1.69 | |
| 4 | +16% | 1.00 | 1.38 | |
| 5 | +7% | 1.54 | 1.77 | |
| 6 | +4% | 1.92 | 2.08 | |
| 7 | +2% | 1.31 | 1.36 | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.62 | 1.62 | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | |
| 10 | -8% | 2.00 | 1.69 | |
| 11 | -8% | 0.85 | 0.71 | |
| 12 | -11% | 1.92 | 1.54 | |
| 13 | -28% | 1.79 | 1.00 | |
| 14 | -58% | 1.43 | 0.38 |
Victoria NPL (Australia) — Home Defence Analysis
Avondale has the best home defensive record in the Victoria NPL (Australia), conceding just 0.93 goals/match at home compared to 1.64 away — a Defence Advantage of +28%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Oakleigh Cannons concedes more at home (1.43/match) than away (0.38/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +33% | 1.29 | 0.64 | |
| 2 | +23% | 0.62 | 0.38 | |
| 3 | +21% | 0.77 | 0.50 | |
| 4 | +16% | 0.85 | 0.62 | |
| 5 | +13% | 1.00 | 0.77 | |
| 6 | +6% | 0.69 | 0.62 | |
| 7 | +4% | 0.54 | 0.50 | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.85 | 0.85 | |
| 9 | -4% | 0.85 | 0.92 | |
| 10 | -9% | 0.38 | 0.46 | |
| 11 | -11% | 0.57 | 0.71 | |
| 12 | -24% | 0.71 | 1.15 | |
| 13 | -38% | 0.31 | 0.69 | |
| 14 | -43% | 0.15 | 0.38 |
Victoria NPL (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Avondale has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Victoria NPL (Australia), netting 1.29 goals/match at home versus 0.64 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. At the other end, Dandenong Thunder shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.15/match at home against 0.38 away (-43%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +47% | 0.29 | 0.79 | |
| 2 | +38% | 0.62 | 1.38 | |
| 3 | +30% | 0.31 | 0.57 | |
| 4 | +27% | 0.31 | 0.54 | |
| 5 | +21% | 0.23 | 0.36 | |
| 6 | +15% | 0.57 | 0.77 | |
| 7 | +13% | 0.77 | 1.00 | |
| 8 | +7% | 1.00 | 1.15 | |
| 9 | +7% | 0.54 | 0.62 | |
| 10 | -20% | 0.92 | 0.62 | |
| 11 | -20% | 0.92 | 0.62 | |
| 12 | -26% | 0.86 | 0.50 | |
| 13 | -33% | 1.08 | 0.54 | |
| 14 | -55% | 0.79 | 0.23 |
Victoria NPL (Australia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Avondale has the best home defensive record in the Victoria NPL (Australia), conceding just 0.29 goals/match at home compared to 0.79 away — a Defence Advantage of +47%. Oakleigh Cannons struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.79/match at home versus 0.23 away (-55%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +54% | 0.77 | 0.23 | |
| 2 | +35% | 2.07 | 1.00 | |
| 3 | +25% | 0.77 | 0.46 | |
| 4 | +9% | 0.92 | 0.77 | |
| 5 | +8% | 1.36 | 1.15 | |
| 6 | +6% | 0.69 | 0.62 | |
| 7 | +4% | 1.00 | 0.93 | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| 9 | -11% | 0.93 | 1.15 | |
| 10 | -17% | 0.38 | 0.54 | |
| 11 | -17% | 0.38 | 0.54 | |
| 12 | -33% | 0.57 | 1.14 | |
| 13 | -47% | 0.31 | 0.85 | |
| 14 | -53% | 0.31 | 1.00 |
Victoria NPL (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Bentleigh Greens has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Victoria NPL (Australia), netting 0.77 goals/match at home versus 0.23 away — a Scoring Advantage of +54%. At the other end, Melbourne City II shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.31/match at home against 1.00 away (-53%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +19% | 1.00 | 1.46 | |
| 2 | +18% | 0.69 | 1.00 | |
| 3 | +18% | 1.23 | 1.77 | |
| 4 | +18% | 0.64 | 0.92 | |
| 5 | +14% | 0.64 | 0.86 | |
| 6 | +10% | 0.69 | 0.85 | |
| 7 | +8% | 0.85 | 1.00 | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.77 | 0.77 | |
| 9 | -5% | 0.77 | 0.69 | |
| 10 | -12% | 1.00 | 0.79 | |
| 11 | -27% | 0.62 | 0.36 | |
| 12 | -30% | 0.93 | 0.50 | |
| 13 | -30% | 1.00 | 0.54 | |
| 14 | -61% | 0.64 | 0.15 |
Victoria NPL (Australia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Green Gully has the best home defensive record in the Victoria NPL (Australia), conceding just 1.00 goals/match at home compared to 1.46 away — a Defence Advantage of +19%. Oakleigh Cannons struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.64/match at home versus 0.15 away (-61%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — Australia
- A-League Home Advantage— Division Premium
- A-League Women Home Advantage— Division Women's Elite
- Australia Cup Home Advantage— Division Gold
- Australian Championship Home Advantage— Division Gold
- Brisbane Premier League Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Capital Territory NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Capital Territory NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- NNSW League 1 Home Advantage— Division Women's Pro
- New South Wales NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- New South Wales NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Northern NSW NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Northern Territory Premier League Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Npl Nsw U20 Home Advantage— Division Academy
- Queensland NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Queensland Premier League Home Advantage— Division Pro
- South Australia NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- South Australia State League 1 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Tasmania NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Tasmania Northern Championship Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Tasmania Southern Championship Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Victoria NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Victoria Premier League 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Western Australia NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Western Australia State League 1 Home Advantage— Division Pro