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Premier League

Premier League — xG (Expected Goals)

Russia · 2026/27

Russia — Premier League 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 14 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Zenit1424.81.7713.30.953215+7.2
2Dynamo1424.51.7513.60.972313-1.5
3Spartak Moscow1424.21.7316.71.192711+2.8
4Krylia Sovetov1423.71.6920.51.461920-4.7
5CSKA Moscow1421.81.5618.81.342316+1.2
6FC Krasnodar1421.51.5315.11.082518+3.5
7FC Orenburg1419.51.3918.81.341414-5.5
8Baltika1418.51.3212.60.901715-1.5
9FC Rostov1417.81.2715.71.121819+0.2
10Akhmat1416.91.2117.61.261619-0.9
11Dinamo Makhachkala1416.61.1922.61.621726+0.4
12Lokomotiv1415.31.0925.81.841621+0.7
13Akron1414.81.0523.01.641725+2.3
14Rodina Moskva1413.80.9827.71.981529+1.2
15Rubin1413.60.9718.71.331418+0.4
16Fakel1411.60.8318.31.31923-2.6
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
ZenitHigh xGF1.77
DynamoHigh xGF1.75
Spartak MoscowHigh xGF1.73
FakelLow xGF0.83
RubinLow xGF0.97
Rodina MoskvaLow xGF0.98

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.33
League avg xGA/g: 1.33
Best overperformer: Zenit (+7.2)
Biggest underperformer: FC Orenburg (-5.5)

Premier League (Russia) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Premier League (Russia) averages 1.33 xG per game this season. Zenit creates the most chances with 1.77 xGF per game, while Fakel creates the fewest with 0.83 xGF per game. Zenit is over-performing their xG (32 goals vs 24.8 xGF) — regression likely. FC Orenburg is under-performing (14 goals vs 19.5 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Russia