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First League

First League — xG (Expected Goals)

Russia · 2026/27

Russia — First League 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 11 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Ska-khabarovsk1119.31.7618.11.642328+3.7
2Nizhny Novgorod916.81.878.40.935215+35.2
3Shinnik Yaroslavl1015.51.5510.91.092218+6.5
4Rotor Volgograd815.11.898.81.102419+8.9
5Spartak Kostroma1015.11.5116.81.682220+6.9
6Enisey914.31.598.80.981933+4.7
7Veles1114.31.3011.81.072321+8.7
8Torpedo Moskva1113.41.2210.50.952913+15.6
9Arsenal Tula1013.01.3020.22.022035+7
10Ural1113.01.1810.90.992911+16
11Tekstilshchik1112.61.1524.42.211229-0.6
12Chelyabinsk1112.61.1515.11.372327+10.4
13Leningradets1111.31.0316.01.451627+4.7
14FC UFA1111.31.0314.31.301917+7.7
15KAMAZ911.31.268.40.932130+9.7
16Volga Ulyanovsk1110.90.998.80.802225+11.1
17FK Neftekhimik1010.51.0512.21.221125+0.5
18FC Sochi109.20.9215.51.552620+16.8
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
Rotor VolgogradHigh xGF1.89
Nizhny NovgorodHigh xGF1.87
Ska-khabarovskHigh xGF1.76
FC SochiLow xGF0.92
Volga UlyanovskLow xGF0.99
FC UFALow xGF1.03

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.32
League avg xGA/g: 1.29
Best overperformer: Nizhny Novgorod (+35.2)
Biggest underperformer: Tekstilshchik (-0.6)

First League (Russia) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The First League (Russia) averages 1.32 xG per game this season. Rotor Volgograd creates the most chances with 1.89 xGF per game, while FC Sochi creates the fewest with 0.92 xGF per game. Nizhny Novgorod is over-performing their xG (52 goals vs 16.8 xGF) — regression likely.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Russia