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Liga MX

Liga MX — xG (Expected Goals)

Mexico · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 15 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Club America1529.41.9620.31.363621+6.6
2Cruz Azul1529.21.9521.01.403424+4.8
3Santos Laguna1524.61.6423.21.552120-3.6
4Necaxa1524.51.6319.31.281628-8.5
5Monterrey1423.81.7018.61.332621+2.2
6Club Queretaro1421.41.5323.11.651821-3.4
7Toluca1421.31.5217.81.273121+9.7
8Leon1421.21.5119.11.362220+0.8
9Club Tijuana1420.91.4919.01.352521+4.1
10Guadalajara Chivas1420.51.4617.11.222514+4.5
11Atlas1520.01.3323.01.532626+6
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas1519.71.3121.51.432224+2.3
13Tigres UANL1419.61.4021.31.521522-4.6
14CF Pachuca1519.41.3024.31.622519+5.6
15Atletico San Luis1516.81.1221.31.421923+2.2
16Atlante FC1316.41.2619.91.531624-0.4
17Puebla1513.80.9219.01.271723+3.2
18FC Juarez1413.20.9427.11.931234-1.2
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Club AmericaHigh xGF1.96
Cruz AzulHigh xGF1.95
MonterreyHigh xGF1.70
PueblaLow xGF0.92
FC JuarezLow xGF0.94

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.44
League avg xGA/g: 1.45
Best overperformer: Toluca (+9.7)
Biggest underperformer: Necaxa (-8.5)

Liga MX (Mexico) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Liga MX (Mexico) averages 1.44 xG per game this season. Club America creates the most chances with 1.96 xGF per game, while Puebla creates the fewest with 0.92 xGF per game. Toluca is over-performing their xG (31 goals vs 21.3 xGF) — regression likely. Necaxa is under-performing (16 goals vs 24.5 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Mexico