MatchPulse
Carioca - 2

Carioca - 2 — Home Advantage

Brazil · 2026

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Nova Cidade+38%+74%+1%1.17/0.40
2Campo Grande+35%+25%+46%2.17/0.40
3Serrano RJ+32%-16%+79%2.33/2.00
4Macaé+18%+11%+25%1.33/0.60
5São Cristóvão RJ+17%+9%+25%1.20/0.67
6Niteroiense+13%+1%+25%2.40/1.67
7Audax Rio+7%-25%+39%1.00/0.00
8Goytacaz+4%+17%-9%2.40/1.67
9Carapebus-6%-2%-9%0.60/0.33
10Duque de Caxias-11%-13%-9%1.80/1.83
11Artsul-13%+5%-32%1.50/1.60
12Petrópolis-32%+35%-100%1.33/2.20

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Carioca - 2 (Brazil) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Carioca - 2 (Brazil), the average home win rate is 44% compared to 28% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Campo Grande shows the strongest home advantage, winning 67% of home games versus just 0% away (a difference of +67%). At the other end, Petrópolis actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 17% versus 60% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Nova Cidade+74%1.330.20
2Petrópolis+35%1.670.80
3Campo Grande+25%1.000.60
4Goytacaz+17%1.401.00
5Macaé+11%1.000.80
6São Cristóvão RJ+9%0.600.50
7Artsul+5%1.331.20
8Niteroiense+1%1.201.17
9Carapebus-2%0.800.83
10Duque de Caxias-13%1.401.83
11Serrano RJ-16%1.171.60
12Audax Rio-25%0.400.67

Carioca - 2 (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Nova Cidade has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Carioca - 2 (Brazil), netting 1.33 goals/match at home versus 0.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +74%. In contrast, Audax Rio scores more away (0.67/match) than at home (0.40/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -25% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Serrano RJ+79%0.171.40
2Campo Grande+46%0.671.80
3Audax Rio+39%0.801.83
4Macaé+25%0.831.40
5Niteroiense+25%0.601.00
6São Cristóvão RJ+25%0.601.00
7Nova Cidade+1%1.171.20
8Duque de Caxias-9%1.000.83
9Goytacaz-9%0.600.50
10Carapebus-9%2.201.83
11Artsul-32%1.170.60
12Petrópolis-100%1.500.00

Carioca - 2 (Brazil) — Home Defence Analysis

Serrano RJ has the best home defensive record in the Carioca - 2 (Brazil), conceding just 0.17 goals/match at home compared to 1.40 away — a Defence Advantage of +79%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Petrópolis concedes more at home (1.50/match) than away (0.00/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Nova Cidade+100%0.500.00
2Goytacaz+29%1.200.67
3São Cristóvão RJ+29%0.600.33
4Artsul+25%0.330.20
5Petrópolis+25%0.670.40
6Macaé-9%0.500.60
7Campo Grande-9%0.330.40
8Serrano RJ-23%0.500.80
9Duque de Caxias-25%0.400.67
10Niteroiense-35%0.400.83
11Audax Rio-100%0.000.33
12Carapebus-100%0.000.50

Carioca - 2 (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Nova Cidade has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Carioca - 2 (Brazil), netting 0.50 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Carapebus shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.50 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Serrano RJ+100%0.000.20
2Niteroiense+100%0.000.33
3Macaé+41%0.330.80
4Campo Grande+41%0.170.40
5Audax Rio+25%0.400.67
6Goytacaz+25%0.200.33
7São Cristóvão RJ+25%0.200.33
8Duque de Caxias-9%0.600.50
9Carapebus-16%1.601.17
10Nova Cidade-16%0.830.60
11Artsul-100%0.670.00
12Petrópolis-100%0.830.00

Carioca - 2 (Brazil) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Serrano RJ has the best home defensive record in the Carioca - 2 (Brazil), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.20 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Petrópolis struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.83/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Nova Cidade+61%0.830.20
2Campo Grande+54%0.670.20
3Macaé+43%0.500.20
4Petrópolis+43%1.000.40
5Carapebus+41%0.800.33
6Niteroiense+41%0.800.33
7Audax Rio+9%0.400.33
8Artsul0%1.001.00
9Duque de Caxias-8%1.001.17
10Serrano RJ-9%0.670.80
11Goytacaz-25%0.200.33
12São Cristóvão RJ-100%0.000.17

Carioca - 2 (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Nova Cidade has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Carioca - 2 (Brazil), netting 0.83 goals/match at home versus 0.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +61%. At the other end, São Cristóvão RJ shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.17 away (-100%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Serrano RJ+76%0.171.20
2Audax Rio+49%0.401.17
3Campo Grande+47%0.501.40
4Nova Cidade+29%0.330.60
5São Cristóvão RJ+25%0.400.67
6Macaé+9%0.500.60
7Artsul+9%0.500.60
8Carapebus+5%0.600.67
9Niteroiense+5%0.600.67
10Duque de Caxias-9%0.400.33
11Goytacaz-41%0.400.17
12Petrópolis-100%0.670.00

Carioca - 2 (Brazil) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Serrano RJ has the best home defensive record in the Carioca - 2 (Brazil), conceding just 0.17 goals/match at home compared to 1.20 away — a Defence Advantage of +76%. Petrópolis struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.67/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — Brazil