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Eredivisie

Eredivisie — xG (Expected Goals)

Netherlands · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 12 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Feyenoord1131.82.8911.81.073617+4.2
2Twente1127.42.4910.40.943012+2.6
3PSV Eindhoven1126.22.3814.41.314015+13.8
4AZ Alkmaar1124.12.1913.51.222416-0.1
5Ajax1023.22.3213.41.343215+8.8
6Sparta Rotterdam1221.81.8124.92.082129-0.7
7Groningen1120.81.8922.12.012928+8.2
8GO Ahead Eagles1220.11.6719.71.642427+3.9
9Heerenveen1119.01.7216.51.502416+5
10NEC Nijmegen1118.31.6618.81.712021+1.8
11ADO Den Haag1216.21.3526.42.201625-0.2
12Utrecht1116.01.4522.12.002134+5
13Cambuur1115.41.4016.61.512527+9.6
14Telstar1215.31.2724.92.071825+2.7
15Excelsior1114.11.2820.61.881629+1.9
16PEC Zwolle1213.81.1522.41.871324-0.8
17Willem II1213.61.1326.42.201140-2.6
18Fortuna Sittard1213.11.0924.92.082020+6.9
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
FeyenoordHigh xGF2.89
TwenteHigh xGF2.49
PSV EindhovenHigh xGF2.38
Fortuna SittardLow xGF1.09
Willem IILow xGF1.13
PEC ZwolleLow xGF1.15

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.73
League avg xGA/g: 1.70
Best overperformer: PSV Eindhoven (+13.8)
Biggest underperformer: Willem II (-2.6)

Eredivisie (Netherlands) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Eredivisie (Netherlands) averages 1.73 xG per game this season. Feyenoord creates the most chances with 2.89 xGF per game, while Fortuna Sittard creates the fewest with 1.09 xGF per game. PSV Eindhoven is over-performing their xG (40 goals vs 26.2 xGF) — regression likely. Willem II is under-performing (11 goals vs 13.6 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Netherlands