The Town vs Tacoma Defiance — MLS Next Pro
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The Town and Tacoma Defiance meet in the MLS Next Pro 2026 season on 10 October 2026. The Town have recorded 11 wins from 28 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Tacoma Defiance have won 39% of their 28 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for The Town and 1.26 for Tacoma Defiance. The models give The Town a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Tacoma Defiance win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
The Town—
Tacoma Defiance8º
Position
9º
1.50
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
1.82
Goals / game
1.43
1.29
Conceded / game
1.57
61%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
21%
57%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
The Town
Home (14)
—
Tacoma Defiance
Away (14)
1.50
PPG
1.07
50%
Win %
36%
2.14
Goals / game
1.29
1.14
Conceded / game
2.14
50%
BTTS %
50%
21%
Clean sheet %
14%
57%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| The Town | Home | Away | Tacoma Defiance | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 71% | 79% | 68% | 71% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 43% | 43% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 43% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 29% | 21% | 32% | 29% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| The Town | Home | Away | Tacoma Defiance | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 79% | 86% | 79% | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 29% | 43% | 50% | 29% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 0% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 21% | 14% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| The Town | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS | 61% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| The Town | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 68% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
The Town (H)W
Real Monarchs4–0
Real Monarchs4–0L
Ventura County1–3
Ventura County1–3LTacoma Defiance1–2
Tacoma Defiance1–2W
Los Angeles FC II3–2
Los Angeles FC II3–2L
St. Louis City II0–2
St. Louis City II0–2D
Austin II1–1
Austin II1–1Tacoma Defiance (A)LVentura County0–3
Ventura County0–3WThe Town2–1
The Town2–1LReal Monarchs0–3
Real Monarchs0–3LLos Angeles FC II3–4
Los Angeles FC II3–4L
North Texas1–3
North Texas1–3WReal Monarchs4–2
Real Monarchs4–2Head to Head · 14 matches
1
The Town
7%
5
Draws
36%
8
Tacoma Defiance
57%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
57%
Over 2.5
8/14
43%
Over 3.5
6/14
71%
BTTS
10/14
06/09/26Tacoma Defiance
The Town
1–2Tacoma Defiance13/07/26Tacoma Defiance
The Town
0–1Tacoma Defiance15/03/26The Town
Tacoma Defiance
0–0The Town28/09/25Tacoma Defiance
The Town
0–1Tacoma Defiance04/07/25The Town
Tacoma Defiance
4–4The Town15/03/25The Town
Tacoma Defiance
3–1The Town26/08/24Tacoma Defiance
The Town
1–1Tacoma Defiance12/06/24Tacoma Defiance
The Town
2–1Tacoma Defiance26/04/24The Town
Tacoma Defiance
3–2The Town11/09/23The Town
Tacoma Defiance
3–2The Town11/06/23Tacoma Defiance
The Town
1–1Tacoma Defiance06/08/22Tacoma Defiance
The Town
0–2Tacoma Defiance05/06/22The Town
Tacoma Defiance
6–1The Town26/04/22Tacoma Defiance
The Town
2–2Tacoma Defiance| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | +33 | 65 |
| 1 |  Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | +28 | 58 |
| 2 |  Portland Timbers II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | +8 | 57 |
| 2 |  Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | +17 | 56 |
| 2 |  New England II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +5 | 48 |
| 3 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | +22 | 53 |
| 3 |  Atlanta United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +16 | 48 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo FC II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | +20 | 52 |
| 4 |  Columbus Crew II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 4 |  Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 44 |
| 5 |  New York RB II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Minnesota United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 5 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +1 | 40 |
| 6 |  New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +6 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 |  Connecticut FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 7 | St. Louis City II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 44 |
| 7 |  Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -13 | 31 |
| 8 | The Town | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +15 | 42 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | -30 | 20 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 |  Orlando City II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 |  Toronto II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -23 | 27 |
| 13 |  Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | +2 | 39 |
| 13 |  Sporting KC II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | -39 | 23 |
| 14 |  Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 |  Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | -44 | 15 |
Team Insights
The Town- ●The Town have won their last 2 matches.
- ●The Town have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●The Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●The Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●The Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●The Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●The Town have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Tacoma Defiance- ●Tacoma Defiance have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tacoma Defiance have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tacoma Defiance failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Tacoma Defiance failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Tacoma Defiance failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●68% of Tacoma Defiance's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
The TownWAVancouver Whitecaps II2–0
Vancouver Whitecaps II2–0WHReal Monarchs4–0
Real Monarchs4–0LHVentura County1–3
Ventura County1–3LHTacoma Defiance1–2
Tacoma Defiance1–2WHLos Angeles FC II3–2
Los Angeles FC II3–2LAAustin II0–1
Austin II0–1–HTacoma Defiance10/10
Tacoma Defiance10/10Tacoma DefianceDHPortland Timbers II1–1
Portland Timbers II1–1LAVentura County0–3
Ventura County0–3WAThe Town2–1
The Town2–1LAReal Monarchs0–3
Real Monarchs0–3WHSporting KC II4–0
Sporting KC II4–0LALos Angeles FC II3–4
Los Angeles FC II3–4–AThe Town10/10
The Town10/10Top Scorers
The TownZ. Bohane12 ⚽
T. Allen6 ⚽
S. de Flores6 ⚽
J. Donnery6 ⚽
J. Heisner5 ⚽
G. Bracken Serra5 ⚽
Tacoma DefianceM. Bronnik12 ⚽
Y. Tsukanome5 ⚽
X. Gnaulati4 ⚽
E. Carli4 ⚽
C. Gaffney4 ⚽
R. Jauregui3 ⚽
Cards Given
The TownR. Rajagopal6 🟨
E. Mendoza6 🟨
J. Heisner5 🟨
M. Kwende5 🟨
N. Dossmann5 🟨
D. Baptista4 🟨
Tacoma DefianceM. O'Neill8 🟨
X. Gnaulati6 🟨
C. Phoenix5 🟨
D. Alvarez4 🟨
M. Bronnik4 🟨
D. Robles3 🟨