Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC — MLS Next Pro
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Atlanta United II and Connecticut FC meet in the MLS Next Pro 2026 season on 16 October 2026. Atlanta United II have recorded 14 wins from 28 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.21 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Connecticut FC have won 50% of their 28 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 79%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.26 for Atlanta United II and 1.75 for Connecticut FC. The models give Atlanta United II a 49% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Connecticut FC win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Atlanta United II—
Connecticut FC3º
Position
7º
1.61
PPG
1.71
54%
Win %
57%
2.21
Goals / game
2.11
1.64
Conceded / game
1.86
68%
BTTS %
79%
14%
Clean sheet %
11%
71%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Atlanta United II
Home (14)
—
Connecticut FC
Away (14)
1.93
PPG
1.71
64%
Win %
57%
2.79
Goals / game
2.00
1.57
Conceded / game
1.86
79%
BTTS %
79%
14%
Clean sheet %
7%
86%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Atlanta United | Home | Away | Connecticut FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 93% | 71% | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 61% | 79% | 43% | 61% | 57% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 64% | 21% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 7% | 29% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlanta United | Home | Away | Connecticut FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 86% | 86% | 89% | 86% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 43% | 57% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 14% | 7% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlanta United | Connecticut FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 36% |
| BTTS | 68% | 79% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 61% | 79% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlanta United | Connecticut FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 21% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlanta United (H)WConnecticut FC4–1
Connecticut FC4–1W
Orlando City II5–1
Orlando City II5–1W
Chicago Fire II2–1
Chicago Fire II2–1L
New York RB II1–2
New York RB II1–2D
Carolina Core3–3
Carolina Core3–3W
New York City II3–2
New York City II3–2Connecticut FC (A)LNew York City II0–1
New York City II0–1LAtlanta United II1–4
Atlanta United II1–4W
Philadelphia Union II4–2
Philadelphia Union II4–2W
Crown Legacy2–0
Crown Legacy2–0W
FC Cincinnati II3–2
FC Cincinnati II3–2W
Toronto II4–2
Toronto II4–2Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Atlanta United
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Connecticut FC
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
08/09/26Connecticut FC
Atlanta United II
4–1Connecticut FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austin II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | +33 | 65 |
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | +28 | 58 |
| 2 |  Portland Timbers II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | +8 | 57 |
| 2 |  Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | +17 | 56 |
| 2 |  New England II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +5 | 48 |
| 3 |  Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | +22 | 53 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +16 | 48 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo FC II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | +20 | 52 |
| 4 |  Columbus Crew II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 4 |  Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 44 |
| 5 | New York RB II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Minnesota United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 5 |  North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +1 | 40 |
| 6 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +6 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 | Connecticut FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 7 |  St. Louis City II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 44 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -13 | 31 |
| 8 |  The Town | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +15 | 42 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | -30 | 20 |
| 9 |  Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Orlando City II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 |  Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Toronto II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -23 | 27 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | +2 | 39 |
| 13 |  Sporting KC II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | -39 | 23 |
| 14 |  Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 |  Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | -44 | 15 |
Team Insights
Atlanta United- ●Atlanta United II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Atlanta United II have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Atlanta United II have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United II have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United II failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United II have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United II failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United II have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United II have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of Atlanta United II's goals have been scored at home.
Connecticut FC- ●Connecticut FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Connecticut FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Connecticut FC have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Connecticut FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Connecticut FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Connecticut FC have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Connecticut FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Connecticut FC have won 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Connecticut FC have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
Atlanta UnitedWAOrlando City II4–2
Orlando City II4–2LAChattanooga1–4
Chattanooga1–4WHConnecticut FC4–1
Connecticut FC4–1DAInter Miami II1–1
Inter Miami II1–1WHOrlando City II5–1
Orlando City II5–1WHChicago Fire II2–1
Chicago Fire II2–1–HConnecticut FC16/10
Connecticut FC16/10Connecticut FCWHInter Miami II7–2
Inter Miami II7–2LANew York City II0–1
New York City II0–1LAAtlanta United II1–4
Atlanta United II1–4LHNew York RB II2–4
New York RB II2–4WAPhiladelphia Union II4–2
Philadelphia Union II4–2WACrown Legacy2–0
Crown Legacy2–0–AAtlanta United II16/10
Atlanta United II16/10Top Scorers
Atlanta UnitedA. Kovac21 ⚽
C. Dunbar10 ⚽
E. Dovlo6 ⚽
D. Chong-Qui6 ⚽
D. Chica6 ⚽
L. Butts4 ⚽
Connecticut FCB. Tanyi18 ⚽
A. Monis11 ⚽
B. Destin8 ⚽
D. Lacy7 ⚽
A. Applewhaite4 ⚽
Caua Paixao3 ⚽
Cards Given
Atlanta UnitedD. Chica10 🟨
M. Senanou7 🟨
A. Jardines5 🟨
C. Dunbar5 🟨
A. Gill4 🟨
M. Cisset4 🟨
Connecticut FCR. Mora-Arias9 🟨
J. Stephenson7 🟨
S. Sserwadda6 🟨
A. Applewhaite6 🟨
A. Monis6 🟨
E. Gomez5 🟨