Chattanooga vs New York City II — MLS Next Pro
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Chattanooga and New York City II meet in the MLS Next Pro 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Chattanooga have recorded 17 wins from 31 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.94 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. New York City II have won 46% of their 28 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Chattanooga and 1.31 for New York City II. The models give Chattanooga a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an New York City II win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Chattanooga—
New York City II2º
Position
6º
2.04
PPG
1.71
68%
Win %
57%
2.00
Goals / game
1.79
1.39
Conceded / game
1.57
65%
BTTS %
61%
29%
Clean sheet %
25%
61%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chattanooga
Home (14)
—
New York City II
Away (14)
2.36
PPG
1.07
79%
Win %
36%
2.36
Goals / game
1.50
1.07
Conceded / game
1.86
53%
BTTS %
57%
41%
Clean sheet %
21%
59%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chattanooga | Home | Away | New York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 94% | 93% | 82% | 93% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 53% | 50% | 57% | 64% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 35% | 14% | 25% | 29% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 6% | 7% | 18% | 7% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Chattanooga | Home | Away | New York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 59% | 86% | 75% | 71% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 35% | 43% | 43% | 29% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 12% | 21% | 25% | 14% | 36% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 41% | 14% | 25% | 29% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chattanooga | New York | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 39% |
| BTTS | 65% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chattanooga | New York | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Chattanooga (H)W
Atlanta United II4–1
Atlanta United II4–1W
Carolina Core5–2
Carolina Core5–2WAtlanta United II1–0
Atlanta United II1–0W
Philadelphia Union II4–0
Philadelphia Union II4–0D
Orlando City II1–1
Orlando City II1–1W
Inter Miami II1–0
Inter Miami II1–0New York (A)DPhiladelphia Union II1–1
Philadelphia Union II1–1LInter Miami II2–4
Inter Miami II2–4L
Toronto II0–2
Toronto II0–2L
Columbus Crew II2–4
Columbus Crew II2–4LAtlanta United II2–3
Atlanta United II2–3L
New England II0–3
New England II0–3Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Chattanooga
33%
2
Draws
67%
0
New York
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
0%
Over 2.5
0/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
21/06/26Chattanooga
New York City II
1–1Chattanooga28/09/25Chattanooga
New York City II
0–1Chattanooga27/03/24Chattanooga
New York City II
1–1Chattanooga| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austin II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | +33 | 65 |
| 1 |  Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | +28 | 58 |
| 2 |  Portland Timbers II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | +8 | 57 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | +17 | 56 |
| 2 | New England II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +5 | 48 |
| 3 |  Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | +22 | 53 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +16 | 48 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo FC II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | +20 | 52 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 4 |  Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 44 |
| 5 |  New York RB II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Minnesota United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 5 |  North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +1 | 40 |
| 6 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +6 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 |  Connecticut FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 7 |  St. Louis City II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 44 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -13 | 31 |
| 8 |  The Town | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +15 | 42 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | -30 | 20 |
| 9 |  Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Orlando City II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 |  Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Toronto II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -23 | 27 |
| 13 |  Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | +2 | 39 |
| 13 |  Sporting KC II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | -39 | 23 |
| 14 |  Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | -44 | 15 |
Team Insights
Chattanooga- ●Chattanooga have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Chattanooga have scored in each of their last 20 matches.
- ●Chattanooga have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga have scored in 13 of their 14 away matches.
New York- ●New York City II have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●New York City II have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●New York City II have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●New York City II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●New York City II failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●New York City II have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●New York City II failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●New York City II have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
ChattanoogaWAChicago Fire II1–0
Chicago Fire II1–0WHAtlanta United II4–1
Atlanta United II4–1WAHuntsville City2–1
Huntsville City2–1WHCarolina Core5–2
Carolina Core5–2LACrown Legacy1–3
Crown Legacy1–3DAToronto II2–2
Toronto II2–2–HNew York City II18/10
New York City II18/10New YorkDAPhiladelphia Union II1–1
Philadelphia Union II1–1WHConnecticut FC1–0
Connecticut FC1–0WHNew York RB II4–2
New York RB II4–2LAInter Miami II2–4
Inter Miami II2–4LAToronto II0–2
Toronto II0–2WHNew England II2–1
New England II2–1–AChattanooga18/10
Chattanooga18/10Top Scorers
ChattanoogaA. Krehl18 ⚽
T. Robertson10 ⚽
D. Barker8 ⚽
A. McGrath7 ⚽
L. Husakiwsky5 ⚽
F. Sar-Sar5 ⚽
New YorkC. Flax12 ⚽
J. Ponce6 ⚽
M. Carrizo5 ⚽
J. Suchecki5 ⚽
L. Sunjic5 ⚽
S. Musu5 ⚽
Cards Given
ChattanoogaA. Sorenson7 🟨
Y. Tcheuyap6 🟨
F. Sar-Sar6 🟨
I. Jones6 🟨
A. Krehl4 🟨
D. Mangarov3 🟨
New YorkJ. Lopez9 🟨
J. Loiola8 🟨
K. Smith6 🟨
C. Flax5 🟨
E. Samb5 🟨
A. Campos4 🟨