Ventura County vs Minnesota United II — MLS Next Pro
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Ventura County and Minnesota United II meet in the MLS Next Pro 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Ventura County have recorded 14 wins from 28 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.07 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Minnesota United II have won 43% of their 28 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Ventura County and 1.16 for Minnesota United II. The models give Ventura County a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Minnesota United II win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Ventura County—
Minnesota United II3º
Position
5º
1.93
PPG
1.61
64%
Win %
54%
2.07
Goals / game
1.54
1.29
Conceded / game
1.39
68%
BTTS %
54%
29%
Clean sheet %
25%
64%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ventura County
Home (14)
—
Minnesota United II
Away (14)
1.93
PPG
1.29
64%
Win %
43%
2.50
Goals / game
1.07
1.14
Conceded / game
1.43
71%
BTTS %
43%
29%
Clean sheet %
21%
71%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ventura County | Home | Away | Minnesota United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 86% | 71% | 86% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 68% | 79% | 57% | 39% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 43% | 21% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 14% | 29% | 14% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Ventura County | Home | Away | Minnesota United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 71% | 71% | 75% | 71% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 29% | 50% | 46% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 14% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 29% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ventura County | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 21% |
| BTTS | 68% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ventura County | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Ventura County (H)W
Tacoma Defiance3–0
Tacoma Defiance3–0D
Portland Timbers II2–2
Portland Timbers II2–2W
North Texas6–1
North Texas6–1W
The Town3–0
The Town3–0W
Los Angeles FC II2–0
Los Angeles FC II2–0W
Real Monarchs3–1
Real Monarchs3–1Minnesota United (A)DReal Monarchs0–0
Real Monarchs0–0W
Houston Dynamo FC II2–0
Houston Dynamo FC II2–0DNorth Texas1–1
North Texas1–1L
Sporting KC II0–1
Sporting KC II0–1W
Austin II3–2
Austin II3–2LHouston Dynamo FC II0–4
Houston Dynamo FC II0–4Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Ventura County
25%
0
Draws
0%
3
Minnesota United
75%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
16/06/25Ventura County
Minnesota United II
0–2Ventura County12/05/24Ventura County
Minnesota United II
1–0Ventura County25/05/23Ventura County
Minnesota United II
3–2Ventura County10/04/23Minnesota United II
Ventura County
1–2Minnesota United II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | +33 | 65 |
| 1 |  Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | +28 | 58 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | +8 | 57 |
| 2 |  Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | +17 | 56 |
| 2 |  New England II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +5 | 48 |
| 3 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | +22 | 53 |
| 3 |  Atlanta United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +16 | 48 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo FC II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | +20 | 52 |
| 4 |  Columbus Crew II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 4 |  Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 44 |
| 5 |  New York RB II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 | Minnesota United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 5 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +1 | 40 |
| 6 |  New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +6 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 |  Connecticut FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 7 |  St. Louis City II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 44 |
| 7 |  Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -13 | 31 |
| 8 | The Town | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +15 | 42 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | -30 | 20 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 |  Orlando City II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 |  Toronto II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -23 | 27 |
| 13 |  Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | +2 | 39 |
| 13 | Sporting KC II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | -39 | 23 |
| 14 |  Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 |  Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | -44 | 15 |
Team Insights
Ventura County- ●Ventura County have scored in each of their last 15 matches.
- ●Ventura County have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Ventura County have scored in each of their last 14 home matches.
- ●Ventura County have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Ventura County failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Ventura County have scored in 14 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Ventura County failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Ventura County have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Ventura County have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Minnesota United- ●Minnesota United II have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Minnesota United II have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United II have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United II have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United II have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United II failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United II have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United II failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United II have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●65% of Minnesota United II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Minnesota United II have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Ventura CountyLAReal Monarchs1–2
Real Monarchs1–2WHTacoma Defiance3–0
Tacoma Defiance3–0WAThe Town3–1
The Town3–1DALos Angeles FC II1–1
Los Angeles FC II1–1WAColorado Rapids II3–2
Colorado Rapids II3–2DHPortland Timbers II2–2
Portland Timbers II2–2–HMinnesota United II17/10
Minnesota United II17/10Minnesota UnitedWHLos Angeles FC II3–2
Los Angeles FC II3–2DAReal Monarchs0–0
Real Monarchs0–0WHVancouver Whitecaps II5–1
Vancouver Whitecaps II5–1WHColorado Rapids II2–0
Colorado Rapids II2–0WAHouston Dynamo FC II2–0
Houston Dynamo FC II2–0DANorth Texas1–1
North Texas1–1–AVentura County17/10
Ventura County17/10Top Scorers
Ventura CountyJ. Placias15 ⚽
E. Preston10 ⚽
D. Vanney8 ⚽
L. Muller4 ⚽
V. Garcia4 ⚽
I. Luna3 ⚽
Minnesota UnitedD. Randell12 ⚽
M. Caldeira10 ⚽
L. Hille5 ⚽
J. Friedman3 ⚽
J. Adebayo-Smith3 ⚽
H. Cruz3 ⚽
Cards Given
Ventura CountyJ. Placias5 🟨
M. Vanney4 🟨
A. Vilamitjana4 🟨
D. Vanney4 🟨
E. Martinez4 🟨
I. Luna3 🟨
Minnesota UnitedA. Kabia7 🟨
N. Dang5 🟨
L. Pechota5 🟨
P. Tarnue4 🟨
J. Clarkson3 🟨
M. Harwood3 🟨