Chattanooga vs Connecticut FC — MLS Next Pro
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Chattanooga and Connecticut FC meet in the MLS Next Pro 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Chattanooga have recorded 18 wins from 32 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.97 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Connecticut FC have won 52% of their 29 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for Chattanooga and 1.50 for Connecticut FC. The models give Chattanooga a 52% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Connecticut FC win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Chattanooga—
Connecticut FC2º
Position
7º
2.04
PPG
1.71
68%
Win %
57%
2.00
Goals / game
2.11
1.39
Conceded / game
1.86
66%
BTTS %
76%
28%
Clean sheet %
14%
63%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chattanooga
Home (14)
—
Connecticut FC
Away (14)
2.36
PPG
1.71
79%
Win %
57%
2.36
Goals / game
2.00
1.07
Conceded / game
1.86
56%
BTTS %
73%
39%
Clean sheet %
13%
61%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chattanooga | Home | Away | Connecticut FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 94% | 93% | 86% | 86% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 56% | 50% | 59% | 57% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 39% | 14% | 34% | 36% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 14% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Chattanooga | Home | Away | Connecticut FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 61% | 86% | 86% | 86% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 33% | 43% | 62% | 64% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 11% | 21% | 17% | 21% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 39% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chattanooga | Connecticut FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 34% |
| BTTS | 66% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 41% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 3% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 76% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chattanooga | Connecticut FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 34% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 72% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 66% | 66% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Chattanooga (H)W
New York City II3–1
New York City II3–1W
Atlanta United II4–1
Atlanta United II4–1W
Carolina Core5–2
Carolina Core5–2WAtlanta United II1–0
Atlanta United II1–0W
Philadelphia Union II4–0
Philadelphia Union II4–0D
Orlando City II1–1
Orlando City II1–1Connecticut FC (A)WAtlanta United II1–0
Atlanta United II1–0LNew York City II0–1
New York City II0–1LAtlanta United II1–4
Atlanta United II1–4WPhiladelphia Union II4–2
Philadelphia Union II4–2W
Crown Legacy2–0
Crown Legacy2–0W
FC Cincinnati II3–2
FC Cincinnati II3–2Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Chattanooga
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Connecticut FC
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
08/03/26Connecticut FC
Chattanooga
4–2Connecticut FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austin II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | +33 | 65 |
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | +28 | 58 |
| 2 |  Portland Timbers II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | +8 | 57 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | +17 | 56 |
| 2 |  New England II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +5 | 48 |
| 3 |  Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | +22 | 53 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +16 | 48 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo FC II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | +20 | 52 |
| 4 |  Columbus Crew II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 4 |  Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 44 |
| 5 |  New York RB II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Minnesota United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 5 |  North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +1 | 40 |
| 6 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +6 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 | Connecticut FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 7 |  St. Louis City II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +2 | 44 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -13 | 31 |
| 8 |  The Town | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | +15 | 42 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | -30 | 20 |
| 9 |  Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Orlando City II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 |  Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 |  Toronto II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -23 | 27 |
| 13 |  Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | +2 | 39 |
| 13 |  Sporting KC II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | -39 | 23 |
| 14 |  Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 |  Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | -44 | 15 |
Team Insights
Chattanooga- ●Chattanooga have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Chattanooga have scored in each of their last 21 matches.
- ●Chattanooga have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga have scored in 13 of their 14 away matches.
Connecticut FC- ●Connecticut FC have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Connecticut FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Connecticut FC have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Connecticut FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Connecticut FC have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Connecticut FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Connecticut FC have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Connecticut FC have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
ChattanoogaWHNew York City II3–1
New York City II3–1WAChicago Fire II1–0
Chicago Fire II1–0WHAtlanta United II4–1
Atlanta United II4–1WAHuntsville City2–1
Huntsville City2–1WHCarolina Core5–2
Carolina Core5–2LACrown Legacy1–3
Crown Legacy1–3–HConnecticut FC25/10
Connecticut FC25/10Connecticut FCWAAtlanta United II1–0
Atlanta United II1–0WHInter Miami II7–2
Inter Miami II7–2LANew York City II0–1
New York City II0–1LAAtlanta United II1–4
Atlanta United II1–4LHNew York RB II2–4
New York RB II2–4WAPhiladelphia Union II4–2
Philadelphia Union II4–2–AChattanooga25/10
Chattanooga25/10Top Scorers
ChattanoogaA. Krehl19 ⚽
T. Robertson10 ⚽
D. Barker8 ⚽
A. McGrath7 ⚽
L. Husakiwsky5 ⚽
F. Sar-Sar5 ⚽
Connecticut FCB. Tanyi19 ⚽
A. Monis11 ⚽
B. Destin8 ⚽
D. Lacy7 ⚽
A. Applewhaite4 ⚽
Caua Paixao3 ⚽
Cards Given
ChattanoogaA. Sorenson7 🟨
Y. Tcheuyap6 🟨
F. Sar-Sar6 🟨
I. Jones6 🟨
A. Krehl4 🟨
D. Mangarov3 🟨
Connecticut FCR. Mora-Arias9 🟨
J. Stephenson7 🟨
S. Sserwadda6 🟨
A. Applewhaite6 🟨
A. Monis6 🟨
E. Gomez5 🟨