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Paulista - A1

Paulista - A1 — xG (Expected Goals)

Brazil · 2026

Brazil — Paulista - A1 2026 — Detailed Stats
Competition
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Goals
AVG TotalGoals ScoredGoals ConcededClean SheetsBTTSFailed To ScorexG (Expected Goals)
Over/Under
Over 0.5 ~ 5.5 TablesUnder 0.5 ~ 5.5 TablesCorner StatsCard StatsShot Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 10 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Corinthians1015.81.587.50.75118-4.8
2Palmeiras1014.41.4413.81.38148-0.4
3Portuguesa913.81.549.41.04128-1.8
4Novorizontino1011.71.1710.31.031911+7.3
5Sao Paulo1011.51.1511.11.111415+2.5
6Santos911.11.2310.11.12139+1.9
7Mirassol810.81.355.30.67108-0.8
8Primavera SP810.51.3111.71.461415+3.5
9RB Bragantino910.41.169.61.06154+4.6
10Capivariano99.81.0813.81.53714-2.7
11Guarani Campinas89.71.2112.91.6167-3.7
12Noroeste88.91.1110.71.341111+2.1
13Velo Clube88.51.0611.41.42213-6.5
14Botafogo SP88.31.048.51.0659-3.3
15São Bernardo88.01.0010.61.328100
16Ponte Preta85.00.6211.71.46314-2
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
CorinthiansHigh xGF1.58
PortuguesaHigh xGF1.54
PalmeirasHigh xGF1.44
Ponte PretaLow xGF0.62
São BernardoLow xGF1.00
Botafogo SPLow xGF1.04

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.19
League avg xGA/g: 1.21
Best overperformer: Novorizontino (+7.3)
Biggest underperformer: Velo Clube (-6.5)

Paulista - A1 (Brazil) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Paulista - A1 (Brazil) averages 1.19 xG per game this season. Corinthians creates the most chances with 1.58 xGF per game, while Ponte Preta creates the fewest with 0.62 xGF per game. Novorizontino is over-performing their xG (19 goals vs 11.7 xGF) — regression likely. Velo Clube is under-performing (2 goals vs 8.5 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Brazil