MatchPulse
Serie B

Serie B — xG (Expected Goals)

Brazil · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 35 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1CRB3552.81.5142.61.225349+0.2
2Novorizontino3552.21.4930.40.876230+9.8
3Atletico Goianiense3550.81.4540.11.154233-8.8
4Sport Recife3547.11.3542.41.214738-0.1
5Nautico Recife3544.41.2747.01.343946-5.4
6Fortaleza EC3542.71.2234.00.974331+0.3
7Londrina3541.81.1946.01.314451+2.2
8Goias3541.11.1841.91.203640-5.1
9Operario-PR3541.11.1743.51.244546+3.9
10Juventude3539.71.1336.51.044523+5.3
11Vila Nova3539.71.1335.41.015036+10.3
12Cuiaba3539.51.1327.80.793228-7.5
13Criciuma3539.31.1229.10.833630-3.3
14Ceara3538.91.1144.01.263744-1.9
15São Bernardo3538.31.1042.71.224939+10.7
16Botafogo SP3537.71.0835.31.014038+2.3
17America Mineiro3536.61.0552.91.512354-13.6
18Athletic Club3535.91.0348.61.394040+4.1
19Ponte Preta3531.20.8962.81.802176-10.2
20Avai3531.00.8938.81.113345+2
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
CRBHigh xGF1.51
NovorizontinoHigh xGF1.49
AvaiLow xGF0.89
Ponte PretaLow xGF0.89
Athletic ClubLow xGF1.03

LEAGUE xG STATS

20 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.17
League avg xGA/g: 1.17
Best overperformer: São Bernardo (+10.7)
Biggest underperformer: America Mineiro (-13.6)

Serie B (Brazil) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Serie B (Brazil) averages 1.17 xG per game this season. CRB creates the most chances with 1.51 xGF per game, while Avai creates the fewest with 0.89 xGF per game. São Bernardo is over-performing their xG (49 goals vs 38.3 xGF) — regression likely. America Mineiro is under-performing (23 goals vs 36.6 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Brazil