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Serie A

Serie A — xG (Expected Goals)

Brazil · 2026/27

Brazil — Serie A 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
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Goals
AVG TotalGoals ScoredGoals ConcededClean SheetsBTTSFailed To ScorexG (Expected Goals)
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 33 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Flamengo3353.31.6229.60.906828+14.7
2RB Bragantino3351.41.5638.01.154238-9.4
3Vasco DA Gama3249.81.5632.61.024049-9.8
4Bahia3247.91.5044.61.394842+0.1
5Cruzeiro3347.91.4544.01.335246+4.1
6Santos3345.41.3844.11.344947+3.6
7Fluminense3344.81.3637.21.135242+7.2
8Internacional3344.81.3639.51.203742-7.8
9Palmeiras3344.81.3630.60.935622+11.2
10Atletico Paranaense3243.61.3635.21.105040+6.4
11Atletico-MG3242.11.3241.01.284439+1.9
12Botafogo3340.21.2249.11.494553+4.8
13Sao Paulo3239.31.2335.11.103939-0.3
14Mirassol3239.21.2244.01.383745-2.2
15Vitoria3235.11.1048.11.503546-0.1
16Remo3334.21.0446.61.413651+1.8
17Gremio3233.81.0552.01.633744+3.3
18Corinthians3231.50.9937.21.163442+2.5
19Chapecoense-sc3231.40.9855.01.723266+0.6
20Coritiba3129.80.9646.61.503850+8.2
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
FlamengoHigh xGF1.62
RB BragantinoHigh xGF1.56
Vasco DA GamaHigh xGF1.56
CoritibaLow xGF0.96
Chapecoense-scLow xGF0.98
CorinthiansLow xGF0.99

LEAGUE xG STATS

20 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.28
League avg xGA/g: 1.28
Best overperformer: Flamengo (+14.7)
Biggest underperformer: Vasco DA Gama (-9.8)

Serie A (Brazil) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Serie A (Brazil) averages 1.28 xG per game this season. Flamengo creates the most chances with 1.62 xGF per game, while Coritiba creates the fewest with 0.96 xGF per game. Flamengo is over-performing their xG (68 goals vs 53.3 xGF) — regression likely. Vasco DA Gama is under-performing (40 goals vs 49.8 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Brazil