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Bundesliga

Bundesliga — xG (Expected Goals)

Germany · 2026/27

Germany — Bundesliga 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 9 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Bayern München931.33.477.90.88299-2.3
2RB Leipzig921.42.3814.61.622713+5.6
3FC Augsburg920.02.2322.52.5020200
4Werder Bremen917.21.9214.01.551715-0.2
5Bayer Leverkusen916.71.8515.51.732017+3.3
61899 Hoffenheim916.41.8212.61.401617-0.4
7VfB Stuttgart916.11.7918.32.041515-1.1
8FSV Mainz 05916.11.7913.31.481819+1.9
9SC Freiburg915.81.769.41.052010+4.2
10Eintracht Frankfurt914.61.6318.12.011520+0.4
11Borussia Dortmund913.91.5413.11.45167+2.1
121. FC Köln913.21.4714.61.621014-3.2
13Borussia Mönchengladbach912.91.4321.02.331225-0.9
14SV Elversberg912.01.3417.01.891718+5
15Hamburger SV911.31.2615.91.771020-1.3
16SC Paderborn 07910.91.2114.81.64811-2.9
17Union Berlin910.21.1319.92.21721-3.2
18FC Schalke 04910.01.1117.41.93511-5
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Bayern MünchenHigh xGF3.47
RB LeipzigHigh xGF2.38
FC AugsburgHigh xGF2.23
FC Schalke 04Low xGF1.11
Union BerlinLow xGF1.13
SC Paderborn 07Low xGF1.21

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.73
League avg xGA/g: 1.73
Best overperformer: RB Leipzig (+5.6)
Biggest underperformer: FC Schalke 04 (-5.0)

Bundesliga (Germany) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Bundesliga (Germany) averages 1.73 xG per game this season. Bayern München creates the most chances with 3.47 xGF per game, while FC Schalke 04 creates the fewest with 1.11 xGF per game. RB Leipzig is over-performing their xG (27 goals vs 21.4 xGF) — regression likely. FC Schalke 04 is under-performing (5 goals vs 10.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Germany