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Frauen Bundesliga

Frauen Bundesliga — xG (Expected Goals)

Germany · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 9 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Bayern Munich W821.12.649.41.18328+10.9
2Eintracht Frankfurt W716.62.377.01.001610-0.6
3Union Berlin W915.61.7316.31.821517-0.6
4VfL Wolfsburg W714.72.108.91.27299+14.3
5Stuttgart W813.41.6719.42.421121-2.4
6Hamburger SV W913.21.4619.72.182018+6.8
7Bayer Leverkusen W713.11.8714.72.101512+1.9
8Werder Bremen W712.81.8212.51.791814+5.2
9Nürnberg W712.41.7813.11.871623+3.6
10SC Freiburg W812.31.5417.62.211118-1.3
11RB Leipzig W712.31.7512.51.791517+2.7
121899 Hoffenheim W712.01.7112.81.8212160
13FC Koln W711.41.629.21.311613+4.6
14Mainz 05 W88.81.1016.62.07636-2.8
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Bayern Munich WHigh xGF2.64
VfL Wolfsburg WHigh xGF2.10
Mainz 05 WLow xGF1.10
Hamburger SV WLow xGF1.46
SC Freiburg WLow xGF1.54

LEAGUE xG STATS

14 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.80
League avg xGA/g: 1.77
Best overperformer: VfL Wolfsburg W (+14.3)
Biggest underperformer: Mainz 05 W (-2.8)

Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) averages 1.80 xG per game this season. Bayern Munich W creates the most chances with 2.64 xGF per game, while Mainz 05 W creates the fewest with 1.10 xGF per game. VfL Wolfsburg W is over-performing their xG (29 goals vs 14.7 xGF) — regression likely. Mainz 05 W is under-performing (6 goals vs 8.8 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Germany