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2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga — xG (Expected Goals)

Germany · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 11 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Hertha BSC1122.12.0113.01.18259+2.9
21. FC Heidenheim1120.71.8815.01.361920-1.7
3VfL Wolfsburg1119.61.7816.81.532616+6.5
4Eintracht Braunschweig1118.91.7218.01.631618-2.9
51. FC Magdeburg1118.81.7117.21.562514+6.2
61. FC Nürnberg1118.41.6819.11.742613+7.6
7Hannover 961118.11.6517.91.631218-6.1
8Energie Cottbus1118.01.6421.01.9118200
9FC St. Pauli1117.91.6314.21.291316-4.9
10VfL Bochum1116.71.5215.11.371113-5.7
111. FC Kaiserslautern1116.71.5215.71.43107-6.7
12VfL Osnabrück1116.51.5018.51.681418-2.5
13SpVgg Greuther Fürth1115.11.3819.71.791319-2.1
14Dynamo Dresden1115.01.3619.41.7615200
15Arminia Bielefeld1114.81.3413.61.241816+3.2
16Karlsruher SC1114.31.3019.11.731524+0.7
17Holstein Kiel1113.91.2615.71.431114-2.9
18SV Darmstadt 981110.50.9516.91.54921-1.5
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Hertha BSCHigh xGF2.01
1. FC HeidenheimHigh xGF1.88
VfL WolfsburgHigh xGF1.78
SV Darmstadt 98Low xGF0.95
Holstein KielLow xGF1.26
Karlsruher SCLow xGF1.30

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.55
League avg xGA/g: 1.54
Best overperformer: 1. FC Nürnberg (+7.6)
Biggest underperformer: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (-6.7)

2. Bundesliga (Germany) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The 2. Bundesliga (Germany) averages 1.55 xG per game this season. Hertha BSC creates the most chances with 2.01 xGF per game, while SV Darmstadt 98 creates the fewest with 0.95 xGF per game. 1. FC Nürnberg is over-performing their xG (26 goals vs 18.4 xGF) — regression likely. 1. FC Kaiserslautern is under-performing (10 goals vs 16.7 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Germany