MatchPulse
League One

League One — xG (Expected Goals)

England · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 14 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Huddersfield1429.62.1212.20.872812-1.6
2Stockport County1428.02.0015.01.072614-2
3Leicester1222.71.8914.01.172219-0.7
4Sheffield Wednesday1322.51.7316.61.282214-0.5
5Luton1321.61.6614.81.132721+5.4
6Reading1221.01.7513.21.102513+4
7Plymouth1420.91.4918.81.342119+0.1
8Mansfield Town1320.61.5816.01.232018-0.6
9Wycombe1320.51.5718.71.442123+0.5
10Leyton Orient1318.81.4521.51.651914+0.2
11Milton Keynes Dons1217.71.4718.01.502220+4.3
12Oxford United1117.61.6017.01.542011+2.4
13Cambridge United1317.31.3317.81.372121+3.7
14Bradford1316.31.2613.31.02108-6.3
15Wigan1315.31.1722.01.691122-4.3
16Blackpool1215.31.2723.31.941721+1.7
17Peterborough1315.11.1620.11.551123-4.1
18Barnsley1214.91.2419.91.661222-2.9
19Doncaster1313.51.0420.51.581422+0.5
20Bromley1312.91.0027.52.121333+0.1
21Stevenage1112.81.1611.31.021713+4.2
22Burton Albion1311.80.9119.11.471821+6.2
23AFC Wimbledon1311.10.8522.91.76921-2.1
24Notts County1111.01.0015.21.381314+2
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
HuddersfieldHigh xGF2.12
Stockport CountyHigh xGF2.00
LeicesterHigh xGF1.89
AFC WimbledonLow xGF0.85
Burton AlbionLow xGF0.91
Notts CountyLow xGF1.00

LEAGUE xG STATS

24 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.40
League avg xGA/g: 1.41
Best overperformer: Burton Albion (+6.2)
Biggest underperformer: Bradford (-6.3)

League One (England) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The League One (England) averages 1.40 xG per game this season. Huddersfield creates the most chances with 2.12 xGF per game, while AFC Wimbledon creates the fewest with 0.85 xGF per game. Burton Albion is over-performing their xG (18 goals vs 11.8 xGF) — regression likely. Bradford is under-performing (10 goals vs 16.3 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — England