League Cup — xG (Expected Goals)

England · 2026/27

England — League Cup 2026/27 — Detailed Stats

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 4 games

#	Team	MP	xGF	xGF/g	xGA	xGA/g	GF	GA	Diff
1	Bradford	4	10.6	2.65	5.1	1.27	7	1	-3.6
2	Barnsley	3	8.7	2.90	8.1	2.69	7	6	-1.7
3	Peterborough	4	8.3	2.09	10.7	2.67	9	6	+0.7
4	Brentford	3	7.9	2.64	4.0	1.34	10	5	+2.1
5	Everton	3	7.0	2.34	3.1	1.03	8	1	+1
6	Chelsea	3	6.7	2.24	4.4	1.48	9	4	+2.3
7	Newcastle	3	6.3	2.10	3.5	1.16	5	5	-1.3
8	West Ham	3	6.1	2.04	4.5	1.50	9	5	+2.9
9	Fulham	3	5.8	1.92	2.2	0.73	6	3	+0.2
10	Tottenham	2	5.5	2.74	2.9	1.45	6	4	+0.5
11	Bournemouth	2	5.3	2.67	2.0	1.00	7	0	+1.7
12	Watford	2	5.2	2.58	4.2	2.10	2	5	-3.2
13	Middlesbrough	3	4.8	1.61	3.9	1.29	4	4	-0.8
14	Aston Villa	2	4.6	2.29	4.4	2.18	3	4	-1.6
15	Lincoln	3	4.5	1.50	4.8	1.61	6	6	+1.5
16	Arsenal	2	4.2	2.11	1.3	0.66	5	3	+0.8
17	West Brom	2	4.2	2.10	2.9	1.45	6	4	+1.8
18	Charlton	2	4.2	2.10	4.2	2.09	4	6	-0.2
19	Reading	3	4.2	1.40	4.5	1.51	5	3	+0.8
20	Sheffield Utd	3	4.2	1.40	3.9	1.29	5	2	+0.8
21	Leyton Orient	3	3.9	1.29	4.8	1.61	3	3	-0.9
22	Ipswich	2	3.9	1.94	4.8	2.42	5	5	+1.1
23	Leicester	2	3.9	1.94	3.5	1.77	2	3	-1.9
24	Blackburn	2	3.9	1.93	3.5	1.77	3	3	-0.9
25	Wolves	3	3.9	1.29	3.9	1.29	5	1	+1.1
26	Luton	2	3.9	1.93	2.9	1.45	3	2	-0.9
27	Liverpool	2	3.8	1.90	3.8	1.91	4	2	+0.2
28	Sunderland	2	3.7	1.85	3.1	1.55	4	2	+0.3
29	Brighton	2	3.7	1.83	2.1	1.05	5	4	+1.3
30	Fleetwood Town	4	3.6	0.89	5.2	1.30	7	1	+3.4
31	Crewe	2	3.5	1.78	3.5	1.78	4	4	+0.5
32	Plymouth	2	3.5	1.77	1.6	0.81	4	4	+0.5
33	Leeds	2	3.5	1.77	3.5	1.78	5	6	+1.5
34	Coventry	2	3.2	1.61	4.5	2.26	5	5	+1.8
35	Norwich	3	3.2	1.07	4.5	1.50	6	7	+2.8
36	Burnley	2	3.2	1.58	2.2	1.09	1	1	-2.2
37	Southampton	2	2.9	1.45	4.2	2.10	3	4	+0.1
38	Walsall	2	2.9	1.45	4.5	2.26	1	0	-1.9
39	Bristol City	1	2.9	2.90	1.6	1.61	0	1	-2.9
40	Manchester City	2	2.7	1.37	2.0	1.03	7	2	+4.3
41	Stevenage	2	2.6	1.29	2.6	1.29	2	4	-0.6
42	Crawley Town	2	2.6	1.29	4.2	2.09	2	1	-0.6
43	Wigan	1	2.6	2.58	1.3	1.29	1	1	-1.6
44	Grimsby	1	2.6	2.58	1.3	1.29	1	3	-1.6
45	Stockport County	1	2.6	2.58	0.3	0.32	1	1	-1.6
46	Cambridge United	2	2.6	1.29	3.2	1.61	2	2	-0.6
47	Millwall	3	2.6	0.86	3.2	1.07	2	2	-0.6
48	Blackpool	2	2.3	1.13	5.5	2.74	4	5	+1.7
49	Cardiff	2	2.3	1.13	1.3	0.65	4	4	+1.7
50	Shrewsbury	2	2.3	1.13	2.6	1.29	1	5	-1.3
51	AFC Wimbledon	2	2.3	1.13	3.5	1.77	1	4	-1.2
52	Hull City	2	2.2	1.12	2.2	1.08	1	2	-1.2
53	Crystal Palace	2	2.2	1.10	2.9	1.44	4	0	+1.8
54	Sheffield Wednesday	2	1.9	0.97	1.3	0.65	1	2	-0.9
55	Doncaster	2	1.9	0.97	5.2	2.58	2	4	+0.1
56	Burton Albion	1	1.9	1.93	2.3	2.25	1	2	-0.9
57	Barnet	1	1.9	1.93	2.3	2.25	1	2	-0.9
58	Tranmere	1	1.9	1.93	0.6	0.64	2	2	+0.1
59	Stoke City	2	1.8	0.92	3.5	1.76	3	1	+1.2
60	Salford City	1	1.6	1.61	1.0	0.97	1	1	-0.6
61	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1.6	1.61	2.3	2.25	1	4	-0.6
62	Colchester	1	1.6	1.61	1.6	1.61	0	2	-1.6
63	Oldham	1	1.6	1.61	1.0	0.97	0	2	-1.6
64	Newport County	1	1.3	1.29	1.6	1.61	1	1	-0.3
65	Manchester United	1	1.3	1.29	1.6	1.61	2	3	+0.7
66	Bristol Rovers	1	1.3	1.29	1.0	0.97	0	1	-1.3
67	Portsmouth	1	1.3	1.29	2.6	2.58	1	3	-0.3
68	Derby	1	1.3	1.29	1.3	1.29	1	2	-0.3
69	Preston	2	1.3	0.65	3.9	1.93	1	5	-0.3
70	Rochdale	2	1.3	0.64	5.2	2.58	2	4	+0.7
71	Bromley	1	1.0	0.97	1.6	1.61	1	1	0
72	Accrington ST	1	1.0	0.97	1.0	0.97	1	2	0
73	QPR	1	1.0	0.97	0.6	0.64	1	1	0
74	Nottingham Forest	1	1.0	0.97	1.6	1.61	0	2	-1
75	Port Vale	1	1.0	0.97	2.3	2.25	0	3	-1
76	Wycombe	1	1.0	0.97	1.6	1.61	1	2	0
77	Birmingham	2	1.0	0.48	3.2	1.61	2	6	+1
78	Huddersfield	1	0.6	0.64	1.0	0.97	1	1	+0.4
79	Swansea	1	0.6	0.64	0.3	0.32	0	1	-0.6
80	Northampton	1	0.6	0.64	1.0	0.97	0	1	-0.6
81	Oxford United	1	0.6	0.64	1.0	0.97	0	2	-0.6
82	Rotherham	1	0.6	0.64	3.2	3.22	1	4	+0.4
83	Gillingham	1	0.6	0.64	3.5	3.54	0	3	-0.6
84	Cheltenham	1	0.6	0.64	2.9	2.90	1	3	+0.4
85	Mansfield Town	1	0.6	0.64	1.3	1.29	0	3	-0.6
86	Notts County	1	0.6	0.64	1.3	1.29	1	1	+0.4
87	York	1	0.6	0.64	1.6	1.61	0	2	-0.6
88	Wrexham	1	0.6	0.64	1.0	0.97	0	1	-0.6
89	Bolton	1	0.3	0.32	1.0	0.97	0	1	-0.3
90	Chesterfield	1	0.3	0.32	0.6	0.64	0	1	-0.3
91	Swindon Town	1	0.3	0.32	1.3	1.29	2	3	+1.7
92	Exeter City	1	0.0	0.00	1.9	1.93	0	2	0

xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)

xG Attack Ranking

BarnsleyHigh xGF2.90

Bristol CityHigh xGF2.90

TottenhamHigh xGF2.74

Exeter CityLow xGF0.00

Swindon TownLow xGF0.32

ChesterfieldLow xGF0.32

LEAGUE xG STATS

92 teams with xG data

League avg xGF/g: 1.45

League avg xGA/g: 1.55

Best overperformer: Manchester City (+4.3)

Biggest underperformer: Bradford (-3.6)

League Cup (England) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The League Cup (England) averages 1.79 xG per game this season. Barnsley creates the most chances with 2.90 xGF per game, while Millwall creates the fewest with 0.86 xGF per game. Fleetwood Town is over-performing their xG (7 goals vs 3.6 xGF) — regression likely. Bradford is under-performing (7 goals vs 10.6 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — England

Championship xG— Division Premium
Community Shield xG— Division Elite
Community Shield Women xG— Division Women's Pro
EFL Trophy xG— Division Gold
FA Cup xG— Division Premium
FA Trophy xG— Division Pro
FA WSL xG— Division Women's Elite
FA Women's Cup xG— Division Women's Pro
FA Youth Cup xG— Division Academy
League One xG— Division Gold
League Two xG— Division Gold
National League xG— Division Pro
National League - North xG— Division Pro
National League - North - Play-offs xG— Division Underground
National League - Play-offs xG— Division Underground
National League - South xG— Division Pro
National League - South - Play-offs xG— Division Underground
National League Cup xG— Division Underground
Non League Div One - Isthmian North xG— Division Amateur
Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central xG— Division Amateur
Non League Div One - Isthmian South East xG— Division Amateur
Non League Div One - Northern East xG— Division Amateur
Non League Div One - Northern Midlands xG— Division Amateur
Non League Div One - Northern West xG— Division Amateur
Non League Div One - Play-offs xG— Division Amateur
Non League Div One - Southern Central xG— Division Amateur
Non League Div One - Southern South xG— Division Amateur
Non League Premier - Isthmian xG— Division Regional
Non League Premier - Isthmian - Play-offs xG— Division Regional
Non League Premier - Northern xG— Division Regional
Non League Premier - Northern - Play-offs xG— Division Regional
Non League Premier - Southern Central xG— Division Regional
Non League Premier - Southern Central - Play-offs xG— Division Regional
Non League Premier - Southern South xG— Division Regional
Non League Premier - Southern South - Play-offs xG— Division Regional
Premier League xG— Division Elite
Premier League - Summer Series xG— Division Underground
Premier League 2 Division One xG— Division Academy
Premier League Cup xG— Division Academy
Professional Development League xG— Division Academy
U18 Premier League - Championship xG— Division Academy
U18 Premier League - North xG— Division Academy
U18 Premier League - South xG— Division Academy
WSL Cup xG— Division Women's Pro
Women's Championship xG— Division Women's Elite