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Premier League — xG (Expected Goals)

England · 2026/27

England — Premier League 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 8 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Bournemouth714.32.047.71.10913-5.3
2Brighton714.02.009.01.29235+9
3Nottingham Forest813.21.658.81.10610-7.2
4Manchester City712.71.828.91.27209+7.3
5Manchester United712.21.7411.11.581010-2.2
6Ipswich812.11.5217.42.181216-0.1
7Chelsea712.01.7211.61.651715+5
8Arsenal711.91.716.60.94135+1.1
9Brentford711.01.5810.91.56138+2
10Fulham710.81.549.51.35810-2.8
11Liverpool710.71.539.61.3798-1.7
12Crystal Palace710.11.4412.21.75917-1.1
13Newcastle79.11.3111.31.611014+0.9
14Sunderland78.91.2812.41.77614-2.9
15Everton78.81.2510.11.4489-0.8
16Leeds78.51.2110.41.4996+0.5
17Aston Villa78.01.1413.11.87912+1
18Hull City77.81.1210.61.5187+0.2
19Coventry77.81.129.91.42615-1.8
20Tottenham77.11.0110.11.44810+0.9
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
BournemouthHigh xGF2.04
BrightonHigh xGF2.00
Manchester CityHigh xGF1.82
TottenhamLow xGF1.01
CoventryLow xGF1.12
Hull CityLow xGF1.12

LEAGUE xG STATS

20 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.49
League avg xGA/g: 1.48
Best overperformer: Brighton (+9.0)
Biggest underperformer: Nottingham Forest (-7.2)

Premier League (England) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Premier League (England) averages 1.49 xG per game this season. Bournemouth creates the most chances with 2.04 xGF per game, while Tottenham creates the fewest with 1.01 xGF per game. Brighton is over-performing their xG (23 goals vs 14.0 xGF) — regression likely. Nottingham Forest is under-performing (6 goals vs 13.2 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — England