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EFL Trophy

EFL Trophy — xG (Expected Goals)

England · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 3 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Cambridge United38.52.841.80.60122+3.5
2Milton Keynes Dons28.54.233.81.92112+2.5
3Blackpool37.22.415.21.7377-0.2
4Exeter City36.92.313.81.2864-0.9
5Stockport County26.93.463.11.5483+1.1
6Doncaster36.62.204.91.6264-0.6
7Plymouth26.53.272.31.1573+0.5
8Notts County26.23.121.80.8872+0.8
9Luton25.82.891.50.7771+1.2
10Leicester25.82.893.11.5473+1.2
11Leyton Orient25.82.893.11.5423-3.8
12Stevenage25.82.891.90.9682+2.2
13Wycombe35.81.926.22.0573+1.2
14Liverpool U2125.42.704.22.1234-2.4
15Huddersfield25.42.702.31.1581+2.6
16Salford City25.42.693.11.5423-3.4
17Crawley Town25.42.694.22.1254-0.4
18Peterborough25.02.500.80.3872+2
19Bromley25.02.504.62.3105-5
20Barnsley25.02.505.42.6948-1
21Arsenal U2134.91.637.52.5057+0.1
22Cheltenham24.82.415.52.7744-0.8
23Aston Villa U2134.81.608.02.66510+0.2
24Wigan24.62.313.51.7364+1.4
25Barnet24.62.312.31.1651+0.4
26Sheffield Wednesday24.62.313.11.5441-0.6
27Crewe24.62.314.62.3163+1.4
28Everton U2124.62.306.33.1848-0.6
29Leeds United U2124.42.225.02.4867+1.6
30Manchester City U2124.42.213.21.61711+2.6
31Newport County34.31.434.01.3354+0.7
32Bradford24.22.121.90.9661+1.8
33Rochdale34.11.3610.13.35412-0.1
34Crystal Palace U2134.01.337.02.3357+1
35Chelsea U2123.91.941.90.9554+1.1
36Accrington ST23.81.924.62.3144+0.2
37Oldham23.81.902.51.2652+1.2
38Gillingham23.81.903.51.7557+1.2
39AFC Wimbledon33.61.226.02.0223-1.6
40Fleetwood Town23.51.733.81.9242+0.5
41Newcastle United U2133.31.094.01.3353+1.7
42Port Vale33.21.072.50.8381+4.8
43York23.11.541.50.7724-1.1
44Brentford U2123.11.549.24.6227-1.1
45Grimsby23.11.542.71.3512-2.1
46Reading23.11.533.91.9413-2.1
47Shrewsbury32.90.964.21.4024-0.9
48Fulham U2122.81.386.23.0939+0.3
49Northampton22.71.353.11.5415-1.7
50Chesterfield22.71.355.02.5064+3.3
51Walsall22.31.175.42.7248+1.7
52Sunderland U2122.31.155.42.6935+0.7
53Brighton U2132.20.748.92.95610+3.8
54Tottenham Hotspur U2122.11.034.82.4124-0.1
55Rotherham32.00.685.21.7316-1
56Bristol Rovers11.91.922.72.6936+1.1
57Nottingham Forest U2121.80.884.72.3526+0.3
58Oxford United11.51.541.11.1522+0.5
59Colchester21.50.774.62.3124+0.5
60Swindon Town21.50.773.11.5414-0.5
61Burton Albion21.10.583.11.5411-0.1
62Mansfield Town10.80.770.40.3816+0.2
63Ipswich Town U2120.80.386.23.08110+0.2
64Tranmere10.40.381.11.1510+0.6
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Milton Keynes DonsHigh xGF4.23
Stockport CountyHigh xGF3.46
PlymouthHigh xGF3.27
TranmereLow xGF0.38
Ipswich Town U21Low xGF0.38
Burton AlbionLow xGF0.58

LEAGUE xG STATS

64 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.88
League avg xGA/g: 1.84
Best overperformer: Port Vale (+4.8)
Biggest underperformer: Bromley (-5.0)

EFL Trophy (England) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The EFL Trophy (England) averages 1.55 xG per game this season. Cambridge United creates the most chances with 2.84 xGF per game, while Rotherham creates the fewest with 0.68 xGF per game. Port Vale is over-performing their xG (8 goals vs 3.2 xGF) — regression likely. AFC Wimbledon is under-performing (2 goals vs 3.6 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — England