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World Cup — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2026

World — World Cup 2026 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 8 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1France817.42.188.01.002010+2.6
2Argentina714.82.113.90.56197+4.3
3England813.91.739.61.202012+6.1
4Spain713.51.932.20.31131-0.5
5Brazil511.62.333.90.78104-1.6
6Belgium611.01.838.21.37147+3
7Norway610.21.709.01.511311+2.8
8Switzerland69.81.636.31.04106+0.2
9Canada59.71.933.20.6596-0.7
10Senegal48.82.205.91.48109+1.2
11Morocco68.51.417.21.20106+1.5
12Germany48.32.063.30.83115+2.8
13Colombia57.61.513.10.6251-2.6
14Portugal57.01.405.81.1783+1
15Mexico56.61.323.80.76103+3.4
16Türkiye36.62.193.61.2135-3.6
17USA56.21.246.21.24118+4.8
18Egypt56.01.218.31.6587+2
19Ecuador45.81.463.70.9224-3.8
20Netherlands45.51.373.60.91115+5.5
21Ivory Coast45.41.355.41.3654-0.4
22Algeria44.51.146.11.5359+0.5
23Uruguay34.21.412.40.8034-1.2
24Congo DR44.21.063.90.9755+0.8
25Japan44.21.043.20.7985+3.8
26Croatia44.11.036.61.6467+1.9
27South Korea34.11.372.50.8423-2.1
28Iran34.11.363.91.2933-1.1
29Austria44.01.008.01.9969+2
30Sweden43.60.917.31.82710+3.4
31Australia43.00.744.01.01330
32Cape Verde Islands42.90.737.01.7445+1.1
33South Africa42.70.694.71.1824-0.7
34New Zealand32.70.917.02.34410+1.3
35Scotland32.60.876.42.1214-1.6
36Jordan32.50.845.71.9138+0.5
37Ghana42.40.604.71.1723-0.4
38Czechia32.40.795.41.8126-0.4
39Bosnia & Herzegovina42.10.535.01.2558+2.9
40Haiti31.90.656.62.1928+0.1
41Panama31.90.654.51.5104-1.9
42Paraguay51.60.337.11.4236+1.4
43Uzbekistan31.60.536.42.13211+0.4
44Qatar31.60.538.52.83210+0.4
45Iraq31.60.528.22.73112-0.6
46Curaçao31.40.478.42.7919-0.4
47Saudi Arabia31.20.405.41.8015-0.2
48Tunisia30.90.325.31.77212+1.1
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
BrazilHigh xGF2.33
SenegalHigh xGF2.20
TürkiyeHigh xGF2.19
TunisiaLow xGF0.32
ParaguayLow xGF0.33
Saudi ArabiaLow xGF0.40

LEAGUE xG STATS

48 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.20
League avg xGA/g: 1.40
Best overperformer: England (+6.1)
Biggest underperformer: Ecuador (-3.8)

World Cup (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The World Cup (World) averages 1.20 xG per game this season. Brazil creates the most chances with 2.33 xGF per game, while Tunisia creates the fewest with 0.32 xGF per game. England is over-performing their xG (20 goals vs 13.9 xGF) — regression likely. Ecuador is under-performing (2 goals vs 5.8 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World