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CONCACAF Gold Cup

CONCACAF Gold Cup — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2025

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 5 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1USA510.62.134.80.96124+1.4
2Mexico59.61.922.80.5582-1.6
3Panama48.92.235.21.29114+2.1
4Guatemala56.21.247.51.5166-0.2
5Costa Rica46.21.556.51.6386+1.8
6Canada45.81.463.10.77102+4.2
7Guadeloupe34.81.605.81.94510+0.2
8Dominican Republic34.51.496.92.2935-1.5
9Suriname34.51.496.22.0636-1.5
10Honduras54.50.897.51.5159+0.5
11Jamaica33.81.264.51.4936-0.8
12Haiti33.81.264.11.3724-1.8
13Saudi Arabia43.10.775.51.3824-1.1
14Curaçao32.80.922.10.6923-0.7
15Trinidad and Tobago32.40.806.22.0627-0.4
16El Salvador30.70.233.41.1404-0.7
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
PanamaHigh xGF2.23
USAHigh xGF2.13
MexicoHigh xGF1.92
El SalvadorLow xGF0.23
Saudi ArabiaLow xGF0.77

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.33
League avg xGA/g: 1.41
Best overperformer: Canada (+4.2)
Biggest underperformer: Haiti (-1.8)

CONCACAF Gold Cup (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The CONCACAF Gold Cup (World) averages 1.33 xG per game this season. Panama creates the most chances with 2.23 xGF per game, while El Salvador creates the fewest with 0.23 xGF per game. Canada is over-performing their xG (10 goals vs 5.8 xGF) — regression likely. Haiti is under-performing (2 goals vs 3.8 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World