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World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF

World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2026

World — World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF 2026 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 10 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Trinidad and Tobago1024.52.4515.61.562313-1.5
2Costa Rica1022.82.285.30.53257+2.2
3Curaçao1021.22.1212.91.29285+6.8
4Panama1020.22.027.60.76195-1.2
5Honduras1020.22.027.60.76174-3.2
6Guatemala1019.51.9513.61.362112+1.5
7Jamaica1017.91.799.60.96195+1.1
8Haiti1016.21.6214.61.462013+3.8
9Bermuda1014.61.4627.12.721331-1.6
10Suriname1014.21.4211.91.19198+4.8
11El Salvador1011.91.1910.91.09913-2.9
12Dominican Republic411.62.903.60.91115-0.6
13Nicaragua1011.61.1614.21.421316+1.4
14Grenada48.92.246.31.58117+2.1
15Guyana47.91.994.61.1664-1.9
16St. Kitts and Nevis47.31.8210.62.65513-2.3
17St. Vincent / Grenadines47.31.825.01.2499+1.7
18St. Lucia46.31.578.62.1559-1.3
19Barbados46.01.496.61.66410-2
20Aruba45.61.4110.62.65310-2.6
21Puerto Rico45.01.243.60.91102+5
22Dominica43.60.9113.93.48514+1.4
23Bahamas43.30.8317.24.31122-2.3
24Antigua and Barbuda43.30.839.62.4015-2.3
25Belize43.00.748.62.15110-2
26Cayman Islands32.60.887.02.3219-1.6
27British Virgin Islands42.60.669.32.32112-1.6
28Montserrat42.60.669.92.48310+0.4
29Cuba32.00.664.01.3265+4
30Anguilla51.00.2014.92.981220
31Turks and Caicos Islands10.00.000.00.0011+1
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
Dominican RepublicHigh xGF2.90
Trinidad and TobagoHigh xGF2.45
Costa RicaHigh xGF2.28
Turks and Caicos IslandsLow xGF0.00
AnguillaLow xGF0.20
CubaLow xGF0.66

LEAGUE xG STATS

31 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.43
League avg xGA/g: 1.73
Best overperformer: Curaçao (+6.8)
Biggest underperformer: Honduras (-3.2)

World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF (World) averages 1.48 xG per game this season. Dominican Republic creates the most chances with 2.90 xGF per game, while Anguilla creates the fewest with 0.20 xGF per game. Curaçao is over-performing their xG (28 goals vs 21.2 xGF) — regression likely. Honduras is under-performing (17 goals vs 20.2 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World