MatchPulse
UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 4 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Switzerland49.52.380.90.22111+1.5
2Netherlands48.72.174.61.1675-1.7
3France47.81.952.60.6572-0.8
4Portugal47.51.883.80.9494+1.5
5Austria47.51.882.90.7295+1.5
6Spain47.21.814.01.01125+4.8
7England47.21.812.30.58143+6.8
8Poland46.91.743.20.8074+0.1
9Albania46.61.662.60.6583+1.4
10Belgium46.41.598.42.0965-0.4
11Italy46.31.596.91.7385+1.7
12Slovakia46.11.524.01.0192+2.9
13Scotland46.11.523.80.9435-3.1
14Cyprus45.81.452.90.7253-0.8
15Norway45.81.456.91.7368+0.2
16Iceland45.51.373.50.8771+1.5
17Germany45.51.374.01.0132-2.5
18Montenegro45.51.373.50.8774+1.5
19Estonia45.51.373.80.9421-3.5
20Türkiye45.51.378.12.02211-3.5
21Malta35.51.832.90.9642-1.5
22Finland45.21.302.90.7292+3.8
23Denmark45.21.306.11.5277+1.8
24Moldova45.21.304.01.0138-2.2
25Kosovo45.21.304.01.0134-2.2
26Hungary44.91.233.20.8032-1.9
27Bulgaria44.91.236.31.5935-1.9
28Luxembourg44.91.237.21.8127-2.9
29Sweden44.61.164.01.0173+2.4
30Greece44.61.165.21.3053+0.4
31Faroe Islands44.61.164.11.0255+0.4
32Azerbaijan34.61.541.70.5821-2.6
33Northern Ireland44.61.162.90.7240-0.6
34Armenia44.31.094.01.0145-0.3
35Serbia44.31.099.22.3138-1.3
36Georgia44.01.015.81.4402-4
37Lithuania33.81.253.21.0632-0.8
38Croatia43.80.946.41.59414+0.3
39Romania43.50.876.41.59313-0.5
40Kazakhstan43.50.877.21.8157+1.5
41Belarus43.50.873.20.8052+1.5
42Andorra33.51.164.31.4413-2.5
43Slovenia43.50.875.21.3053+1.5
44Rep. Of Ireland43.20.806.11.5264+2.8
45Wales43.20.804.91.2325-1.2
46Bosnia & Herzegovina43.20.804.61.1663+2.8
47Israel42.90.735.81.4527-0.9
48Ukraine42.60.654.31.0925-0.6
49San Marino42.30.588.92.24116-1.3
50Czechia41.70.447.21.81210+0.3
51Latvia41.20.296.31.5926+0.8
52Gibraltar20.90.442.61.3011+0.1
53FYR Macedonia40.30.079.52.38010-0.3
54Liechtenstein20.00.003.51.73020
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
SwitzerlandHigh xGF2.38
NetherlandsHigh xGF2.17
FranceHigh xGF1.95
LiechtensteinLow xGF0.00
FYR MacedoniaLow xGF0.07
LatviaLow xGF0.29

LEAGUE xG STATS

54 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.22
League avg xGA/g: 1.23
Best overperformer: England (+6.8)
Biggest underperformer: Georgia (-4.0)

UEFA Nations League (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The UEFA Nations League (World) averages 1.26 xG per game this season. Switzerland creates the most chances with 2.38 xGF per game, while FYR Macedonia creates the fewest with 0.07 xGF per game. England is over-performing their xG (14 goals vs 7.2 xGF) — regression likely. Georgia is under-performing (0 goals vs 4.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World