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CONCACAF Nations League

CONCACAF Nations League — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2025/26

World — CONCACAF Nations League 2025/26 — Detailed Stats
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Goals
AVG TotalGoals ScoredGoals ConcededClean SheetsBTTSFailed To ScorexG (Expected Goals)
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 4 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Saint Martin413.83.462.20.56192+5.2
2Curaçao412.03.003.40.841250
3Antigua and Barbuda411.62.904.11.03113-0.6
4Cuba410.92.726.01.50105-0.9
5Guyana410.52.623.40.84162+5.5
6Aruba410.12.533.70.9485-2.1
7St. Vincent / Grenadines49.72.437.11.78113+1.3
8St. Kitts and Nevis49.42.347.91.97106+0.6
9Dominican Republic49.42.348.22.0688-1.4
10Puerto Rico48.22.063.40.8461-2.2
11Montserrat48.22.061.90.47111+2.8
12Haiti47.91.978.22.0695+1.1
13Barbados47.91.973.40.84104+2.1
14Costa Rica47.51.873.00.7586+0.5
15Bermuda47.51.8712.03.00513-2.5
16Suriname47.51.874.11.0354-2.5
17Honduras47.11.785.61.4056-2.1
18Bonaire47.11.787.91.9778-0.1
19Guadeloupe46.01.505.21.3147-2
20Sint Maarten46.01.508.62.15210-4
21French Guyana46.01.503.70.9352-1
22Trinidad and Tobago45.61.4110.82.7147-1.6
23Martinique45.61.405.21.3157-0.6
24St. Lucia45.61.406.41.5994+3.4
25US Virgin Islands45.21.319.72.4488+2.8
26Guatemala45.21.315.61.4093+3.8
27Grenada44.91.2210.52.62412-0.9
28Jamaica44.91.225.61.4064+1.1
29Bahamas44.51.1311.62.90320-1.5
30Dominica44.51.1210.52.62215-2.5
31Turks and Caicos Islands44.11.034.11.0376+2.9
32Belize43.70.936.01.5014-2.7
33Cayman Islands43.00.759.02.2506-3
34El Salvador42.60.656.71.69410+1.4
35Nicaragua42.60.6511.22.81414+1.4
36Anguilla42.20.5616.14.02213-0.2
37British Virgin Islands41.50.377.91.97011-1.5
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
Saint MartinHigh xGF3.46
CuraçaoHigh xGF3.00
Antigua and BarbudaHigh xGF2.90
British Virgin IslandsLow xGF0.37
AnguillaLow xGF0.56
NicaraguaLow xGF0.65

LEAGUE xG STATS

37 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.69
League avg xGA/g: 1.69
Best overperformer: Guyana (+5.5)
Biggest underperformer: Sint Maarten (-4.0)

CONCACAF Nations League (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The CONCACAF Nations League (World) averages 1.69 xG per game this season. Saint Martin creates the most chances with 3.46 xGF per game, while British Virgin Islands creates the fewest with 0.37 xGF per game. Guyana is over-performing their xG (16 goals vs 10.5 xGF) — regression likely. Sint Maarten is under-performing (2 goals vs 6.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World