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World Cup - Qualification Asia

World Cup - Qualification Asia — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2026

World — World Cup - Qualification Asia 2026 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 18 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Japan1536.02.406.40.42513+15
2Qatar1832.11.7924.01.343728+4.9
3Saudi Arabia1828.61.5915.90.882213-6.6
4South Korea1427.61.977.40.53408+12.4
5Australia1626.51.6610.90.68387+11.5
6Indonesia1624.01.5022.31.393132+7
7Iran1022.32.239.20.923512+12.7
8Uzbekistan1120.11.8314.51.322711+6.9
9Jordan1319.11.4714.51.123212+12.9
10United Arab Emirates1216.91.4113.41.123413+17.1
11Oman1414.51.0416.61.192118+6.5
12Palestine1213.81.1517.31.441619+2.2
13Kyrgyzstan1213.11.0918.71.562525+11.9
14North Korea1112.71.1619.81.802025+7.3
15Iraq1312.40.9513.41.032711+14.6
16Thailand612.42.069.51.5999-3.4
17China1612.30.7725.81.611629+3.7
18Kuwait1310.30.7922.61.741326+2.8
19Singapore58.11.6312.72.54825-0.1
20Bahrain107.10.7115.21.521619+8.9
21Hong Kong35.71.894.61.53817+2.3
22Chinese Taipei32.80.944.61.53917+6.2
23Tajikistan22.51.243.51.77117+8.5
24Mongolia22.11.061.80.8802-2.1
25Afghanistan42.10.538.82.21514+2.9
26India31.80.596.42.1237+1.2
27Bhutan21.80.885.02.4824+0.2
28Pakistan51.80.359.61.91226+0.2
29Guam11.41.412.82.8313-0.4
30Yemen11.41.411.41.41910+7.6
31Lebanon21.40.714.22.1258+3.6
32Bangladesh31.40.477.12.36422+2.6
33Sri Lanka11.41.411.41.4114-0.4
34Cambodia21.10.530.70.3501-1.1
35Maldives10.70.711.41.4123+1.3
36Timor-Leste10.70.712.12.1207-0.7
37Myanmar20.30.188.54.24829+7.7
38Philippines10.30.352.52.47314+2.7
39Brunei20.30.187.13.54012-0.3
40Syria20.00.007.43.71912+9
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
JapanHigh xGF2.40
IranHigh xGF2.23
ThailandHigh xGF2.06
SyriaLow xGF0.00
BruneiLow xGF0.18
MyanmarLow xGF0.18

LEAGUE xG STATS

40 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.12
League avg xGA/g: 1.70
Best overperformer: United Arab Emirates (+17.1)
Biggest underperformer: Saudi Arabia (-6.6)

World Cup - Qualification Asia (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The World Cup - Qualification Asia (World) averages 1.31 xG per game this season. Japan creates the most chances with 2.40 xGF per game, while Pakistan creates the fewest with 0.35 xGF per game. United Arab Emirates is over-performing their xG (34 goals vs 16.9 xGF) — regression likely. Saudi Arabia is under-performing (22 goals vs 28.6 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World