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World Cup - Qualification Europe

World Cup - Qualification Europe — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2024/25

World — World Cup - Qualification Europe 2024/25 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 9 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Norway824.43.056.70.84375+12.6
2Croatia824.03.004.90.62264+2
3Italy923.12.5710.01.112312-0.1
4Wales922.52.509.91.102212-0.5
5Belgium822.42.805.20.65297+6.6
6Austria822.32.787.50.94224-0.3
7Portugal620.63.435.20.87207-0.6
8Czechia919.92.219.81.092010+0.1
9England819.82.482.60.33220+2.2
10Spain619.53.252.90.49212+1.5
11Israel818.62.3215.61.951920+0.4
12Denmark717.92.555.60.80207+2.1
13Poland917.91.988.50.94168-1.9
14Netherlands817.82.224.70.58274+9.2
15Bosnia & Herzegovina916.51.8410.61.18188+1.5
16France616.42.744.00.67164-0.4
17Cyprus816.22.0212.81.601111-5.2
18Romania915.31.709.51.051911+3.7
19Montenegro813.21.6514.41.80817-5.2
20Germany612.42.074.00.66163+3.6
21Serbia811.91.488.61.08910-2.9
22FYR Macedonia911.71.3018.02.001314+1.3
23Greece611.21.867.91.321012-1.2
24Rep. Of Ireland710.51.5011.91.70119+0.5
25Finland810.41.3015.71.97814-2.4
26Slovakia79.61.379.31.33912-0.6
27Albania99.51.0610.51.1687-1.5
28Faroe Islands89.11.1411.41.42119+1.9
29Malta89.11.1319.52.44419-5.1
30Ukraine79.01.299.41.351114+2
31Switzerland68.81.474.00.66142+5.2
32Türkiye78.81.269.01.291812+9.2
33Moldova88.71.0926.93.36532-3.7
34Scotland68.61.449.21.53137+4.4
35Iceland68.31.399.71.611311+4.7
36Kazakhstan88.31.0416.12.01913+0.7
37Latvia88.31.0413.81.72515-3.3
38Estonia88.01.0021.12.648210
39Hungary68.01.3310.91.821110+3
40Kosovo77.21.038.11.15108+2.8
41Lithuania87.20.9013.21.65615-1.2
42Sweden77.11.0112.01.71713-0.1
43Georgia66.31.0610.21.70715+0.7
44Northern Ireland76.00.859.41.3578+1
45Slovenia65.00.835.20.8638-2
46Belarus64.40.7416.22.70417-0.4
47Armenia64.40.7315.42.57319-1.4
48San Marino83.40.4333.34.17239-1.4
49Luxembourg63.30.5510.01.66113-2.3
50Azerbaijan62.90.4913.62.26316+0.1
51Bulgaria62.80.4714.62.44319+0.2
52Liechtenstein81.90.2321.62.70031-1.9
53Gibraltar81.80.2227.53.44328+1.2
54Andorra81.40.1716.12.01316+1.6
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
PortugalHigh xGF3.43
SpainHigh xGF3.25
NorwayHigh xGF3.05
AndorraLow xGF0.17
GibraltarLow xGF0.22
LiechtensteinLow xGF0.23

LEAGUE xG STATS

54 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.54
League avg xGA/g: 1.56
Best overperformer: Norway (+12.6)
Biggest underperformer: Cyprus (-5.2)

World Cup - Qualification Europe (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The World Cup - Qualification Europe (World) averages 1.54 xG per game this season. Portugal creates the most chances with 3.43 xGF per game, while Andorra creates the fewest with 0.17 xGF per game. Norway is over-performing their xG (37 goals vs 24.4 xGF) — regression likely. Cyprus is under-performing (11 goals vs 16.2 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World