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World Cup - Qualification South America

World Cup - Qualification South America — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2026

World — World Cup - Qualification South America 2026 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 18 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Colombia1825.61.4218.41.022818+2.4
2Argentina1821.61.2011.20.623110+9.4
3Brazil1820.01.1115.20.842417+4
4Bolivia1819.71.1028.51.591735-2.7
5Ecuador1818.71.0414.70.81145-4.7
6Venezuela1818.41.0221.91.211828-0.4
7Paraguay1817.90.9913.60.761410-3.9
8Uruguay1815.50.8615.50.862212+6.5
9Chile1814.40.8022.11.23927-5.4
10Peru1811.20.6221.91.21621-5.2
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
ColombiaHigh xGF1.42
ArgentinaHigh xGF1.20
BrazilHigh xGF1.11
PeruLow xGF0.62
ChileLow xGF0.80
UruguayLow xGF0.86

LEAGUE xG STATS

10 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.02
League avg xGA/g: 1.02
Best overperformer: Argentina (+9.4)
Biggest underperformer: Chile (-5.4)

World Cup - Qualification South America (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The World Cup - Qualification South America (World) averages 1.02 xG per game this season. Colombia creates the most chances with 1.42 xGF per game, while Peru creates the fewest with 0.62 xGF per game. Argentina is over-performing their xG (31 goals vs 21.6 xGF) — regression likely. Chile is under-performing (9 goals vs 14.4 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World