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UEFA U21 Championship

UEFA U21 Championship — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2025

World — UEFA U21 Championship 2025 — Detailed Stats
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Goals
AVG TotalGoals ScoredGoals ConcededClean SheetsBTTSFailed To ScorexG (Expected Goals)
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 5 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1France U21513.62.726.01.20108-3.6
2Germany U21510.32.067.31.46155+4.7
3Netherlands U2159.01.796.71.3376-2
4Spain U2148.01.995.71.4177-1
5England U2157.31.466.71.3395+1.7
6Portugal U2146.31.584.01.0091+2.7
7Denmark U2146.31.589.32.3398+2.7
8Czech Republic U2135.71.895.31.7757-0.7
9Slovakia U2135.31.773.61.2245-1.3
10Ukraine U2135.01.663.61.2245-1
11Italy U2144.71.164.31.0854+0.3
12Finland U2133.61.227.32.4446+0.4
13Georgia U2133.01.006.01.9948+1
14Poland U2133.01.007.02.33211-1
15Slovenia U2132.70.896.02.0005-2.7
16Romania U2132.30.787.32.4425-0.3
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
France U21High xGF2.72
Germany U21High xGF2.06
Spain U21High xGF1.99
Romania U21Low xGF0.78
Slovenia U21Low xGF0.89
Poland U21Low xGF1.00

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.53
League avg xGA/g: 1.66
Best overperformer: Germany U21 (+4.7)
Biggest underperformer: France U21 (-3.6)

UEFA U21 Championship (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The UEFA U21 Championship (World) averages 1.53 xG per game this season. France U21 creates the most chances with 2.72 xGF per game, while Romania U21 creates the fewest with 0.78 xGF per game. Germany U21 is over-performing their xG (15 goals vs 10.3 xGF) — regression likely. France U21 is under-performing (10 goals vs 13.6 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World