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CONMEBOL Libertadores

CONMEBOL Libertadores — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 12 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Palmeiras1218.41.538.60.721711-1.4
2Independiente del Valle1017.91.798.30.831610-1.9
3Flamengo1116.91.538.20.75175+0.1
4Deportes Tolima1214.01.1613.61.141112-3
5Estudiantes L.P.1213.81.159.30.78127-1.8
6Independ. Rivadavia813.11.645.80.73167+2.9
7Sporting Cristal1012.71.2711.81.181013-2.7
8Cruzeiro811.41.428.61.07106-1.4
9Rosario Central811.31.416.60.8292-2.3
10LDU de Quito1011.21.1211.01.10129+0.8
11Fluminense1210.50.879.70.811312+2.5
12Coquimbo Unido810.31.297.40.9297-1.3
13Corinthians1010.31.036.80.68106-0.2
14Platense109.70.977.50.751111+1.3
15Mirassol88.21.036.10.7685-0.2
16Boca Juniors68.21.364.90.8165-2.2
17Independiente Medellin98.00.8910.71.191111+3
18Juventud67.91.316.61.1088+0.1
19U. Catolica87.70.978.41.0698+1.3
20Junior67.11.198.71.44511-2.1
21UCV67.11.1912.82.13711-0.1
22Always Ready66.91.1610.81.8079+0.1
23Barcelona SC106.10.6116.21.62514-1.1
24Lanus65.60.935.40.9037-2.6
25Cerro Porteno85.30.6610.21.2774+1.7
26Universitario65.20.875.80.9656-0.2
27Bolívar65.20.876.81.1468+0.8
28Cusco64.90.8211.21.86412-0.9
29Penarol64.70.787.81.2948-0.7
30Club Nacional64.50.768.71.4679+2.5
312 de Mayo44.51.126.91.7243-0.5
32Botafogo44.41.113.80.9433-1.4
33Libertad Asuncion64.40.7410.81.79413-0.4
34Carabobo FC44.41.095.61.3953+0.6
35Santa Fe64.00.675.80.9767+2
36O'Higgins44.01.005.11.2934-1
37Alianza Lima23.81.922.81.4012-2.8
38Deportivo Tachira FC43.60.916.01.5033-0.6
39Deportivo La Guaira63.50.5911.41.91613+2.5
40The Strongest23.41.691.90.9522-1.4
41Universidad Catolica22.91.453.51.7444+1.1
42Huachipato22.61.322.21.0913-1.6
43Bahia22.51.261.90.9822-0.5
44Club Guarani22.51.232.31.1412-1.5
45Liverpool Montevideo22.01.032.31.1512-1
46Nacional Potosí22.01.012.51.2812-1
47Argentinos JRS20.90.470.80.4311+0.1
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Alianza LimaHigh xGF1.92
The StrongestHigh xGF1.69
Argentinos JRSLow xGF0.47
Barcelona SCLow xGF0.61

LEAGUE xG STATS

47 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.11
League avg xGA/g: 1.16
Best overperformer: Independiente Medellin (+3.0)
Biggest underperformer: Deportes Tolima (-3.0)

CONMEBOL Libertadores (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The CONMEBOL Libertadores (World) averages 1.07 xG per game this season. Independiente del Valle creates the most chances with 1.79 xGF per game, while Deportivo La Guaira creates the fewest with 0.59 xGF per game. Independiente Medellin is over-performing their xG (11 goals vs 8.0 xGF) — regression likely. Deportes Tolima is under-performing (11 goals vs 14.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World