MatchPulse
Olympics Men

Olympics Men — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2024/25

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 6 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Morocco U2369.11.526.71.11175+7.9
2Spain U2358.81.765.81.15115+2.2
3Egypt U2368.21.378.81.47511-3.2
4France U2357.91.584.20.85111+3.1
5Paraguay U2346.71.676.71.6768-0.7
6United States U2346.11.526.71.6778+0.9
7Argentina U2346.11.523.30.8464-0.1
8Guinea U2335.21.725.81.9216-4.2
9Uzbekistan U2334.51.524.51.5224-2.5
10Japan U2344.51.145.21.2973+2.5
11Ukraine U2334.31.423.91.3135-1.2
12Mali U2334.31.422.40.8113-3.2
13Israel U2333.31.116.12.0236-0.3
14Dominican Republic U2333.31.115.21.7224-1.3
15New Zealand U2333.01.017.32.43380
16Iraq U2332.70.915.51.8237+0.3
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
Spain U23High xGF1.76
Guinea U23High xGF1.72
Paraguay U23High xGF1.67
Iraq U23Low xGF0.91
New Zealand U23Low xGF1.01

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.39
League avg xGA/g: 1.47
Best overperformer: Morocco U23 (+7.9)
Biggest underperformer: Guinea U23 (-4.2)

Olympics Men (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Olympics Men (World) averages 1.39 xG per game this season. Spain U23 creates the most chances with 1.76 xGF per game, while Iraq U23 creates the fewest with 0.91 xGF per game. Morocco U23 is over-performing their xG (17 goals vs 9.1 xGF) — regression likely. Guinea U23 is under-performing (1 goals vs 5.2 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World