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Copa America

Copa America — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2024

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 6 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Argentina511.12.223.90.7981-3.1
2Uruguay69.31.544.80.80114+1.8
3Canada68.61.439.11.5247-4.6
4Colombia58.21.652.50.49122+3.8
5Brazil46.31.573.00.7452-1.3
6Venezuela45.81.456.11.5372+1.2
7Ecuador45.41.364.41.1054-0.4
8Mexico34.91.622.10.6911-3.9
9USA34.11.362.50.8333-1.1
10Panama43.10.775.61.41610+2.9
11Paraguay32.70.904.81.5938+0.3
12Jamaica31.80.615.41.7917-0.8
13Peru31.70.575.11.7003-1.7
14Chile31.70.564.51.5201-1.7
15Bolivia31.00.326.72.221100
16Costa Rica30.50.175.61.8724+1.5
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
ArgentinaHigh xGF2.22
ColombiaHigh xGF1.65
MexicoHigh xGF1.62
Costa RicaLow xGF0.17
BoliviaLow xGF0.32
ChileLow xGF0.56

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.13
League avg xGA/g: 1.29
Best overperformer: Colombia (+3.8)
Biggest underperformer: Canada (-4.6)

Copa America (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Copa America (World) averages 1.13 xG per game this season. Argentina creates the most chances with 2.22 xGF per game, while Costa Rica creates the fewest with 0.17 xGF per game. Colombia is over-performing their xG (12 goals vs 8.2 xGF) — regression likely. Canada is under-performing (4 goals vs 8.6 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World