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Euro Championship

Euro Championship — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2024/25

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 6 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Spain611.11.866.51.09133+1.9
2Germany59.81.974.40.88114+1.2
3Portugal59.61.914.50.9153-4.6
4France69.21.535.30.8843-5.2
5Netherlands68.21.376.51.09107+1.8
6Türkiye57.41.489.11.8288+0.6
7Austria47.01.756.51.62760
8Switzerland56.81.364.90.9884+1.2
9Croatia36.62.194.41.4636-3.6
10England65.60.935.30.8974+1.4
11Czechia35.11.714.41.4735-2.1
12Belgium44.61.143.40.8522-2.6
13Slovakia44.41.115.91.4845-0.4
14Georgia44.41.1011.52.8758+0.6
15Denmark44.31.084.81.2124-2.3
16Poland34.21.395.91.9736-1.2
17Hungary33.61.223.91.3025-1.6
18Romania43.60.906.31.5846+0.4
19Italy43.40.845.31.3235-0.4
20Slovenia43.20.816.11.5222-1.2
21Ukraine33.11.032.90.9824-1.1
22Albania32.50.825.81.9235+0.5
23Serbia32.10.702.60.8512-1.1
24Scotland30.90.324.51.5027+1.1
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
CroatiaHigh xGF2.19
GermanyHigh xGF1.97
PortugalHigh xGF1.91
ScotlandLow xGF0.32
SerbiaLow xGF0.70
SloveniaLow xGF0.81

LEAGUE xG STATS

24 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.27
League avg xGA/g: 1.35
Best overperformer: Spain (+1.9)
Biggest underperformer: France (-5.2)

Euro Championship (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Euro Championship (World) averages 1.27 xG per game this season. Croatia creates the most chances with 2.19 xGF per game, while Scotland creates the fewest with 0.32 xGF per game. Spain is over-performing their xG (13 goals vs 11.1 xGF) — regression likely. France is under-performing (4 goals vs 9.2 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World