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Friendlies

Friendlies — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 12 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Russia820.02.506.80.852050
2Mexico1216.81.409.30.78179+0.2
3Brazil615.42.567.51.25219+5.6
4South Korea815.01.878.91.12129-3
5Argentina614.32.380.70.12261+11.7
6USA812.11.5211.81.471814+5.9
7Germany411.12.772.90.72125+0.9
8Belgium49.42.353.60.91133+3.6
9Scotland49.32.325.71.4383-1.3
10Canada79.31.333.90.5694-0.3
11Morocco58.91.795.31.07144+5.1
12China68.91.497.51.25712-1.9
13England47.51.881.40.3652-2.5
14Japan57.51.507.11.4382+0.5
15Egypt57.51.506.11.2163-1.5
16Chile57.51.509.61.9378-0.5
17Uruguay57.21.436.81.36126+4.9
18Rep. Of Ireland47.11.791.10.2771-0.1
19Ecuador57.11.433.90.7976-0.1
20France46.81.705.01.2595+2.2
21India56.81.367.11.43418-2.8
22Spain36.42.141.80.5972+0.6
23Portugal46.41.613.20.8062-0.4
24Colombia66.11.015.40.89108+3.9
25Switzerland46.11.525.71.4386+1.9
26Hungary46.11.523.60.8962-0.1
27Wales35.81.935.71.9134-2.8
28Türkiye25.72.861.40.7161+0.3
29Netherlands45.71.432.90.7154-0.7
30Panama45.41.357.51.871214+6.6
31South Africa45.41.344.31.0744-1.4
32Ivory Coast35.01.674.31.4392+4
33Serbia34.61.555.71.91312-1.6
34Tajikistan44.61.164.31.0777+2.4
35Nigeria34.61.557.12.381510+10.4
36Austria34.31.431.80.5971+2.7
37Cyprus34.31.432.50.8364+1.7
38Peru64.30.717.11.19717+2.7
39Vanuatu14.34.281.41.431310+8.7
40Norway44.31.075.71.4354+0.7
41Venezuela33.91.315.41.7944+0.1
42Sweden23.61.793.91.9735-0.6
43Ghana43.60.909.02.26310-0.6
44Papua New Guinea23.61.793.61.7946+0.4
45Gibraltar23.61.791.10.54101+6.4
46Northern Ireland33.61.195.01.6734-0.6
47New Zealand33.61.194.61.5557+1.4
48Solomon Islands23.21.615.72.8697+5.8
49Montenegro13.23.210.70.7175+3.8
50Paraguay23.21.612.11.0792+5.8
51Palestine13.23.211.11.07136+9.8
52Senegal23.21.611.80.8984+4.8
53Croatia32.90.982.60.8857+2.1
54Armenia12.92.861.11.0734+0.1
55Greece32.90.953.91.3124-0.9
56Poland12.92.861.81.7924-0.9
57Haiti22.91.432.91.4364+3.1
58Iceland42.90.7110.72.68311+0.1
59Andorra32.90.954.31.4329-0.8
60Angola12.52.501.11.0741+1.5
61Burkina Faso32.50.839.33.09813+5.5
62Romania12.52.503.23.2134+0.5
63Uzbekistan32.50.835.01.671412+11.5
64Moldova22.51.254.72.3358+2.5
65Bolivia22.51.253.61.79416+1.5
66Australia42.50.626.81.7047+1.5
67New Caledonia22.11.082.51.2549+1.9
68Israel22.11.071.10.5432+0.9
69Guinea12.12.141.41.4324-0.1
70Denmark12.12.140.70.7121-0.1
71Italy22.11.070.70.3620-0.1
72Slovenia22.11.074.32.1456+2.9
73Thailand22.11.073.21.6122-0.1
74Belarus22.11.072.11.0794+6.9
75Korea Republic U2312.12.141.81.791112+8.9
76Australia U2311.81.792.12.1434+1.2
77Mali21.80.893.91.9713-0.8
78Germany U1911.41.430.70.7164+4.6
79Azerbaijan11.41.431.41.4333+1.6
80Hong Kong11.41.430.40.3622+0.6
81FYR Macedonia31.40.485.01.6704-1.4
82Jordan21.40.724.62.32611+4.6
83Congo DR11.41.431.11.0745+2.6
84Costa Rica21.10.544.32.15313+1.9
85El Salvador21.10.542.51.2556+3.9
86Central African Republic11.11.072.52.5014-0.1
87Curaçao11.11.073.93.9354+3.9
88Kuwait11.11.072.12.1434+1.9
89Georgia11.11.071.11.0773+5.9
90Finland21.10.545.02.5016-0.1
91Honduras21.10.543.61.7924+0.9
92Iran11.11.071.81.79128+10.9
93Ukraine U1911.11.070.70.7132+1.9
94Bosnia & Herzegovina11.11.070.40.3611-0.1
95Saudi Arabia31.10.368.62.8658+3.9
96Guatemala21.10.544.62.32114-0.1
97San Marino11.11.071.11.0736+1.9
98Tunisia21.10.545.72.8616-0.1
99Trinidad and Tobago20.70.367.53.75012-0.7
100Qatar20.70.362.11.0701-0.7
101Algeria20.70.362.51.25141+13.3
102Finland U1910.70.711.41.4347+3.3
103Iraq10.70.711.41.4323+1.3
104Wales U1910.70.710.40.36311+2.3
105Liechtenstein30.70.245.71.9108-0.7
106Ukraine10.70.712.12.1442+3.3
107Scotland U1910.70.711.11.0738+2.3
108Singapore10.70.711.11.0752+4.3
109Kazakhstan10.70.712.12.1424+1.3
110Mongolia10.40.361.41.4306-0.4
111Luxembourg10.40.361.11.0711+0.6
112Nicaragua20.40.184.62.3217+0.6
113Northern Ireland U1910.40.360.70.7112+0.6
114Fiji10.40.360.40.36119+10.6
115Madagascar10.40.363.23.2167+5.6
116Sao Tome and Principe10.40.360.70.7100-0.4
117Zambia10.00.000.40.36050
118England U1910.00.000.00.0053+5
119Jamaica10.00.001.81.7964+6
120Namibia10.00.005.05.00060
121Seychelles10.00.000.00.00050
122Benin10.00.001.11.0749+4
123Albania10.00.001.11.07030
124Mauritania10.00.001.41.4333+3
125Maldives10.00.002.92.86119+1
126Belgium U1910.00.000.00.0042+4
127Grenada10.00.005.05.00060
128Sri Lanka10.00.000.00.00126+12
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
VanuatuHigh xGF4.28
MontenegroHigh xGF3.21
PalestineHigh xGF3.21
Sri LankaLow xGF0.00
GrenadaLow xGF0.00
Belgium U19Low xGF0.00

LEAGUE xG STATS

128 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.21
League avg xGA/g: 1.45
Best overperformer: Algeria (+13.3)
Biggest underperformer: South Korea (-3.0)

Friendlies (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Friendlies (World) averages 1.43 xG per game this season. Germany creates the most chances with 2.77 xGF per game, while Liechtenstein creates the fewest with 0.24 xGF per game. Argentina is over-performing their xG (26 goals vs 14.3 xGF) — regression likely. South Korea is under-performing (12 goals vs 15.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World