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World Cup - Women

World Cup - Women — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2023

World — World Cup - Women 2023 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 7 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Spain W614.42.404.60.77177+2.6
2England W611.31.894.90.82133+1.7
3Japan W510.72.154.00.80153+4.3
4Netherlands W510.12.026.41.29123+1.9
5France W59.81.963.40.67124+2.2
6Australia W79.51.368.61.23108+0.5
7Sweden W79.51.368.61.23144+4.5
8USA W48.62.150.60.1641-4.6
9Norway W47.01.762.50.62740
10South Africa W46.11.537.31.8468-0.1
11Brazil W36.12.042.80.9252-1.1
12Colombia W55.51.105.81.1664+0.5
13Denmark W44.01.003.40.8433-1
14Germany W34.01.333.11.0283+4
15Canada W34.01.334.01.3325-2
16Italy W34.01.334.01.3338-1
17Morocco W43.70.924.61.15210-1.7
18Switzerland W43.70.925.51.3835-0.7
19Nigeria W43.40.844.91.2332-0.4
20Portugal W33.11.023.71.2321-1.1
21Zambia W33.11.028.32.76311-0.1
22New Zealand W32.80.921.50.5111-1.8
23China W32.80.923.11.0227-0.8
24Panama W32.80.927.32.45311+0.2
25Republic of Ireland W32.50.823.41.1213-1.5
26Argentina W32.50.823.41.1325-0.5
27Jamaica W42.50.616.11.5311-1.5
28South Korea W31.50.513.41.1214-0.5
29Haiti W31.50.516.42.1504-1.5
30Costa Rica W31.50.519.83.2718-0.5
31Philippines W30.60.217.72.5518+0.4
32Vietnam W30.60.2110.13.37012-0.6
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
Spain WHigh xGF2.40
Japan WHigh xGF2.15
USA WHigh xGF2.15
Vietnam WLow xGF0.21
Philippines WLow xGF0.21
Costa Rica WLow xGF0.51

LEAGUE xG STATS

32 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.20
League avg xGA/g: 1.38
Best overperformer: Sweden W (+4.5)
Biggest underperformer: USA W (-4.6)

World Cup - Women (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The World Cup - Women (World) averages 1.20 xG per game this season. Spain W creates the most chances with 2.40 xGF per game, while Vietnam W creates the fewest with 0.21 xGF per game. Sweden W is over-performing their xG (14 goals vs 9.5 xGF) — regression likely. USA W is under-performing (4 goals vs 8.6 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World